North Macedonia, IPDV poll:

VMRO DPMNE-EPP: 36% (+5)
SDSM-S&D: 23% (-5)
DUI~S&D: 10% (n.a.)
AA~NI: 8% (-4)
Levica~LEFT: 6% (-6)
BESA~NI: 4% (+2)
DD-*: 3% (new)
Alternativa~NI: 2%

+/- vs. 15-20 September 2021

Fieldwork: 5-9 November 2023
Sample size: 1,050

➤ https://europeelects.eu/northmacedonia
#Macedonia

#Czechia, Kantar poll:

Scenario: SPOLU as a single list

ANO-RE: 33% (-1)
SPOLU-ECR|EPP: 22% (+2)
Piráti-G/EFA: 11% (+2)
SPD-ID: 11% (+1)
STAN-EPP: 7% (-1)
...

+/- vs. 16 October - 3 November 2023

Fieldwork: 11 - 29 September 2023
Sample size: 1200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia

#Czechia, Kantar poll:

ANO-RE: 33% (-1)
ODS-ECR: 16% (+4)
Piráti-G/EFA: 11% (+2)
SPD-ID: 11% (+1)
STAN-EPP: 7% (-1)
TOP09-EPP: 5% (-1)
…

+/- vs. 16 October - 3 November 2023

Fieldwork: 11 - 29 September 2023
Sample size: 1200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia

#Austria: right-wing Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ-ID) continues to lead in our polling average at 29%.

The governing coalition of centre-right Austrian People's Party (ÖVP-EPP) and The Greens (G/EFA) are polling at a combined 29%.

See more: https://europeelects.eu/austria/

UK (GB), Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll:

LAB-S&D: 45%
CON~ECR: 28% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 11% (-2)
REFORM~NI: 9% (+2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 4% (-2)
SNP-G/EFA: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 29 October 2023

Fieldwork: 5 November 2023
Sample size: 2,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 30% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 18% (-1)
Možemo!~G/EFA: 13% (-1)
DP→ECR: 10% (+1)
Most→ECR: 9% (-1)
Centar-RE: 2%
RF~LEFT: 2%
Fokus-RE: 2% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 2-5 October 2023

Fieldwork: 6-9 November 2023
Sample size: 1,300

➤ http://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Italy, Tecnè poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 19% (-1)
M5S-NI: 16%
FI-EPP: 10%
LEGA-ID: 9%
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 3%
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 2-3 November 2023

Fieldwork: 9-10 November 2023
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

UK (GB), Deltapoll poll:

LAB-S&D: 45% (-1)
CON~ECR: 24% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 12% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (+1)
REFORM~NI: 6% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (+1)
UKIP~ID: 2%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 27-30 October 2023

Fieldwork: 3-6 November 2023
Sample size: 1,021

➤ http://europeelects.eu/uk/
#UnitedKingdom

The Europe Elects calendar has just been updated!

🔗http://europeelects.eu/calendar/

It now lists 197 votes from across the continent for 2024. Out of the 221 votes listed for 2023, nine are still ahead. These include the national parliament elections in the Netherlands and in Serbia.

#Poland, Pollster poll:

ZP-ECR: 35%
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 31%
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 17% (+3)
Kon~NI: 7%
Lewica-S&D: 7% (-2)
PJJ-*: 2%
BS-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 7-8 November 2023
Sample size: 1,014

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Poland: far-right Polska Jest Jedna (PJJ-*) achieves a record high polling result of 1.8% (Pollster).

The party obtained 1.6% of the vote as one of the seven nationwide electoral committees in last month’s national parliament election.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#France, Ipsos-Sopra Steria poll:

European Parliament election

Scenario: Séjourné is Ensemble’s (RE) lead candidate

RN-ID: 29% (+6)
Ensemble-RE: 20% (-2)
EELV-G/EFA: 10.5% (-3.5)
PS/PP-S&D: 10.5% (+4.5)
LFI-LEFT: 8.5% (+2.5)
LR-EPP: 6.5% (-2.5)
Reconquête-NI: 6%
PCF-LEFT: 2% (-1)
DLF→ECR: 2% (-2)
LO/NPA-LEFT: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 9-10 November 2023
Sample size: 1,412

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

#France, Ipsos-Sopra Steria poll:

European Parliament election

Scenario: Le Maire is Ensemble’s (RE) lead candidate

RN-ID: 29% (+6)
Ensemble-RE: 22%
EELV-G/EFA: 10% (-4)
PS/PP-S&D: 10% (+4)
LFI-LEFT: 8.5% (+2.5)
LR-EPP: 6% (-3)
Reconquête-NI: 6%
PCF-LEFT: 2% (-1)
DLF→ECR: 2% (-2)
LO/NPA-LEFT: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 9-10 November 2023
Sample size: 1,412

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30.5% (+0.5)
AfD-ID: 21.5% (+0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16.5% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13.5% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 4.5% (+0.5)
FW-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 6-10 November 2023

Fieldwork: 10-13 November 2023
Sample size: 2,008

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

NEW | The results of a fair election always follow certain statistical rules.

Using the tampering in Russia as an example, Europe Elects goes through some techniques that authoritarian regimes use to rig elections while keeping up a democratic façade.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/2023/11/13/russia-understanding-the-flagrant-vote-rigging-with-graphs/

#Portugal, Aximage poll:

PS-S&D: 27% (-2)
PSD-EPP: 26% (+1)
CH-ID: 18% (+4)
BE-LEFT: 8% (+1)
IL-RE: 6% (+1)
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PAN-G/EFA: 3%
L-G/EFA: 3%
CDS-PP-EPP: 1% (-2)

+/- vs. 2-5 October 2023

Fieldwork: 10-13 November 2023
Sample size: 504

➤ http://europeelects.eu/portugal

#Portugal: right-wing Chega (ID) reaches a new record high of 17.9% in the latest Aximage poll.

The party achieved 7.2% of the vote in the 2022 national parliament election.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/portugal

#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 23%
F-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
I→RE: 12%
Æ~NI: 10% (+1)
V-RE: 10% (+1)
M-RE: 8% (+1)
Ø-LEFT: 8% (-1)
C-EPP: 5% (-1)
B-RE: 4%
O-ID: 3% (-1)
Å→G/EFA: 2%
D~NI: 2%
...

+/- vs. 30 October-5 November 2023

Fieldwork: 6-12 November 2023
Sample size: 1,036

➤ http://europeelects.eu/denmark

We see a critical review of political polling in Europe as a public service that should be accessible and open to everyone.

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➤ https://www.gofundme.com/f/europe-elects-empowering-european-citizens

#Greece, Alco poll:

ND-EPP: 39% (+2)
SYRIZA-LEFT: 15% (−3)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 15% (+1)
KKE-NI: 10% (+1)
EL-ECR: 6%
Niki-*: 4% (+1)
Spartiates-*: 3% (−2)
PE-*: 3%
MeRA25~LEFT: 2%

+/− vs. 25 – 28 September 2023

Fieldwork: 30 October – 03 November 2023
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece