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The official Telegram account for Europe Elects: providing polling aggregation and analysis from all over Europe.

https://europeelects.eu
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#France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Presidential election (scenario: NFP (LEFT|G/EFA|S&D) parties run united)

RN-PfE: 34% (-1)
NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 26% (n.a.)
Ensemble-RE: 19% (-4)
LR-EPP: 10% (+3)
REC-ESN: 3% (-2)
Far-left candidate: 3% (n.a.)
DLF→ECR: 2%
UDR-EPP: 2% (n.a.)
Divers-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1 April 2025

Fieldwork: 24-25 April 2025
Sample size: 1,189

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Presidential election (scenario: NFP (LEFT|G/EFA|S&D) parties and LFI (LEFT) run separately)

RN-PfE: 34% (-1)
NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 20% (n.a.)
Ensemble-RE: 18% (-5)
LR-EPP: 10% (+3)
LFI-LEFT: 8% (-5)
REC-ESN: 3% (-2)
DLF→ECR: 2%
Far-left candidate: 2% (n.a.)
UDR-EPP: 2% (n.a.)
Divers-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1 April 2025

Fieldwork: 24-25 April 2025
Sample size: 1,189

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Presidential election (scenario: NFP (LEFT|G/EFA) parties and PS/PP (S&D) run separately)

RN-PfE: 34% (-1)
Ensemble-RE: 17% (-6)
NFP-LEFT|G/EFA: 16% (n.a.)
PS/PP: 13% (+8)
LR-EPP: 10% (+3)
REC-ESN: 3% (-2)
Far-left candidate: 3% (n.a.)
DLF→ECR: 2%
UDR-EPP: 1% (n.a.)
Divers-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1 April 2025

Fieldwork: 24-25 April 2025
Sample size: 1,189

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop-Hexagone poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Ensemble (RE) and NFP (LEFT|G/EFA|S&D) parties run separately)

Bardella (RN-PfE): 32%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 15%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 10%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 9%
Attal (RE-RE): 8%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 7.5%
Ruffin (PD-LEFT): 4.5%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 2.5%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2.5%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 2%
de Villepin (*): 2%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

Fieldwork: 11-18 April 2025
Sample size: 9,128

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop-Hexagone poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Ensemble (RE) and NFP (LEFT|G/EFA|S&D) parties run separately)

Bardella (RN-PfE): 32%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 15%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 10%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 9%
Attal (RE-RE): 8%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 7.5%
Ruffin (PD-LEFT): 4.5%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 2.5%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2.5%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 2%
de Villepin (*): 2%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

Fieldwork: 11-18 April 2025
Sample size: 9,128

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop-Hexagone poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Retailleau (LR-EPP) run)

Bardella (RN-PfE): 33%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 22%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 10%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 10%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 8%
Ruffin (PD-LEFT): 5%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 2.5%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 2.5%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

Fieldwork: 11-18 April 2025
Sample size: 9,128

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop-Hexagone poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Wauquiez (LR-EPP) run)

Bardella (RN-PfE): 35%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 24%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 10%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 10%
Ruffin (PD-LEFT): 5%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Wauquiez (LR-EPP): 3%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 3%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 2.5%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2.5%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

Fieldwork: 11-18 April 2025
Sample size: 9,128

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop-Hexagone poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Attal (RE-RE) and Retailleau (LR-EPP) run)

Bardella (RN-PfE): 33%
Attal (HOR-RE): 14%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 14%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 11.5%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 10%
Ruffin (PD-LEFT): 5%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 3%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 2.5%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2.5%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

Fieldwork: 11-18 April 2025
Sample size: 9,128

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop-Hexagone poll:

Presidential election (scenario: NFP (LEFT|G/EFA|S&D) parties and LFI (LEFT) run separately)

Bardella (RN-PfE): 33%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 22%
Glucksmann (NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D): 15%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 13%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 9%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2.5%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1.5%

Fieldwork: 11-18 April 2025
Sample size: 9,128

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop-Hexagone poll:

Presidential election (scenario: NFP (LEFT|G/EFA|S&D) parties and LFI (LEFT) run separately; Ruffin is the NFP candidate)

Bardella (RN-PfE): 33%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 26%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 12%
Ruffin (NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D): 10%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 10%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 4%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 3%
Arthaud (LO-*): 2%

Fieldwork: 11-18 April 2025
Sample size: 9,128

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop-Hexagone poll:

Presidential run-off election

Philippe (HOR-RE): 50%
Bardella (RN-PfE): 50%

Bardella (RN-PfE): 53%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 47%

Bardella (RN-PfE): 52%
Attal (RE-RE): 48%

Bardella (RN-PfE): 67%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 33%

Fieldwork: 11-18 April 2025
Sample size: 9,128

europeelects.eu/france
#France (Saône-et-Loire’s 5th constituency), national parliament by-election, first round today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~86,000
➤ Polls open: 8am-7pm CET
➤ Electoral system: 2-round, single-member constituencies
➤ Incumbent party: RN (PfE) since 2024. The Constitutional Council voided the past election due to voting irregularities.

europeelects.eu/france
#France (Saône-et-Loire’s 5th constituency), national parliament by-election, first round:

Preliminary final results

Sanvert (RN-PfE): 31.9%
Martin (LR-EPP): 25.6%
Mugnier (PS-S&D): 17%
Jarrot (HOR-RE): 12.5%
Kouriche (LFI-LEFT): 8.2%
Hinger (PDF-*): 2.1%
Dufraigne (LO-*): 1.4%
Szych (LP~NI): 1.2%
Cadiot (*): 0.2%

Arnaud Sanvert (RN-PfE) and Sébastien Martin (LR-EPP) advance to the second round.
A significative shift from the 2024 election, in which the RN (PfE), NFP (LEFT|G/EFA|S&D) and HOR (RE) candidates had reached the run-off.

https://europeelects.eu/france
#France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 31% (n.a.)
Philippe (HOR-RE): 21% (-2)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 14% (+1)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 12% (+5)
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 10% (n.a.)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 5%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 3% (-1)
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3% (-1)
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

+/- vs. 1 April 2025

Fieldwork: 19 May 2025
Sample size: 1,217

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 31% (n.a.)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 16% (+9)
Attal (RE-RE): 15% (n.a.)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 15% (+2)
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 11% (n.a.)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 5%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 3% (-1)
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3% (-1)
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

+/- vs. 1 April 2025

Fieldwork: 19 May 2025
Sample size: 1,217

http://europeelects.eu/france
#France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Presidential election

Bardella (RN-PfE): 31% (-4)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 17% (+10)
Attal (RE-RE): 15% (n.a.)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 14% (+1)
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 11% (n.a.)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 5%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 3% (-1)
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3% (-1)
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

+/- vs. 1 April 2025

Fieldwork: 19 May 2025
Sample size: 1,217

http://europeelects.eu/france
#France, Toluna-Harris poll:

Presidential election

Bardella (RN-PfE): 30% (-5)
Philippe (HOR-RE): 21% (-2)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 14% (+1)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 13% (+6)
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 10% (n.a.)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 5%
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 3% (-1)
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3% (-1)
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

+/- vs. 1 April 2025

Fieldwork: 19 May 2025
Sample size: 1,217

http://europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Bardella (RN-PfE) run)

Bardella (RN-PfE): 31% (-2)
Philippe (HOR-RE): 21% (-1)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 13% (+3)
Faure (PS-S&D): 4.5% (n.a.)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 16% (+8)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 3.5% (-0.5)
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 4.5% (+2)
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3.5% (+1)
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

+/- vs. 11-18 April 2025

Fieldwork: 19-20 May 2025
Sample size: 1,114

europeelects.eu/france
#France, Ifop poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Le Pen (RN-PfE) run)

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 31% (-2)
Philippe (HOR-RE): 21% (-1)
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 16% (+8)
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 13.5% (+3.5)
Tondelier (LÉ-G/EFA): 5% (+2.5)
Faure (PS-S&D): 4.5% (n.a.)
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 3% (-1)
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 3% (+0.5)
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2%
Arthaud (LO-*): 1%

+/- vs. 11-18 April 2025

Fieldwork: 19-20 May 2025
Sample size: 1,114

http://europeelects.eu/france
#France (Saône-et-Loire’s 5th constituency), national parliament by-election, second round:

Final results

Martin (LR-EPP): 58.6%
Sanvert (RN-PfE): 41.4%

This past Sunday, Sébastien Martin flipped Arnaud Sanvert’s seat. There have been 5 by-elections in France since the previous national parliament election, check the updated count of Members of Parliament on our website!

https://europeelects.eu/france