#Croatia: in the first round of the last week presidential election, HDZ-supported candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) has won the majority of the diaspora vote.

Croatian citizens living abroad were able to vote in 38 countries, with a total of 105 polling stations opened for the first round of the presidential election.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

Presidential run-off election

Milanović (*-S&D): 69% (+8)
Primorac (*-EPP): 31% (-8)

+/- vs. 19-23 December 2024

Fieldwork: 3-7 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 32%
SDP-S&D: 28%
Možemo!-G/EFA: 11%
Most→ECR: 8%
DP-ECR: 3% (-1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 4% (+2)
Centar-RE: 2% (+1)
…

+/- vs. 16-17 December 2024

Fieldwork: 8-9 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Promocija plus poll:

Presidential run-off election

Milanović (*-S&D): 69% (+7)
Primorac (*-EPP): 31% (-8)

+/- vs. 16-17 December 2024

Fieldwork: 8-9 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

Presidential run-off election

Milanović (*-S&D): 72% (+6)
Primorac (*-EPP): 29% (-5)

+/- vs. 26 December 2024

Fieldwork: 9 January 2025
Sample size: 600

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, presidential election today (run-off):

➤ Eligible voters: 3,769,598
➤ Polling stations open: 07:00-19:00 CET
➤ President Zoran Milanović (*-S&D) seeking re-election
➤ Candidates: Zoran Milanović (*-S&D) & Dragan Primorac (*-EPP)

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

Turnout at 11:30 AM CET (excluding overseas turnout)

2005: 15.34%
2010: 12.62%
2015: 21.92%
2020: 18.87%
2025: 13.80%

Note: figures before 2020 reflect turnout as of 11:00 AM CET

Source: State Election Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

6,664/6,755 polling stations counted:

Milanović (*-S&D): 74.6% (+0.2)
Primorac (*-EPP): 25.4% (-0.2)

+/- vs. 6,365/6,755 polling stations counted

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (run-off):

as per 5,637/6,755 of the polling stations counted, the incumbent President Zoran Milanović, supported by the SDP-S&D led alliance has won re-election beating Dragan Primorac, supported by the HDZ-EPP led alliance.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

Turnout at 4:30 PM CET (excluding overseas turnout)

2005: 41.92%
2009: 33.87%
2014: 36.36%
2019: 38.82%
2024: 34.77%

Note: figures before 2020 reflect turnout as of 4 PM CET

Source: State Election Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

According to the Ipsos exit poll, candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) wins 22.14% of the vote occupying second place.

If the State Election Commission (DIP) confirms these results, this will be the worst result for a second place candidate since the transition to a parliamentary from a semi-presidential system in 2000.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

According to the Ipsos exit poll, candidate Dragan Primorac (*-EPP) wins 22.14% of the vote.

If the State Election Commission (DIP) confirms these results, this will be the worst result for a HDZ (EPP)-supported candidate since the transition to a parliamentary from a semi-presidential system in 2000.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round) today:

City of Zagreb

Milanović (*-S&D): 79.4% (+19.7)
Primorac (*-EPP): 20.6% (-19.7)

+/- vs. 2019 election

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round):

Final turnout

2005: 51.04%
2010: 50.12%
2015: 59.03%
2020: 54.99%
2025: 44.17% (-10.82)

Source: State Election Commission

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, presidential election (second round):

Diaspora

Primorac (*-EPP): 66.5% (-21.4)
Milanović (*-S&D): 33.5% (+21.4)

+/- vs. 2020 election

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

HDZ-EPP: 32% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 28% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
Most→ECR: 7% (-3)
DP~ECR: 2% (-1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 2% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-20 December 2024

Fieldwork: 1-20 January 2025
Sample size: 993

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia: the right-wing Domovinski Pokret (DP~ECR), currently in national government with HDZ (EPP), falls to an all-time record low polling result of 1.8% in the latest Ipsos poll - the lowest polling result ever obtained by a party founded in 2020.

If repeated in the next national parliament election, this would be the party’s worst result ever.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, 2x1 komunikacije poll:

HDZ-EPP: 35% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 26% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 9% (+1)
Most→ECR: 7% (-1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 3%
HSU-*: 3%
DP~ECR: 2% (-2)
Centar-RE: 2%
IDS-RE: 2%
HS-ECR: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 15-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: January 2025

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, Promocija plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 31% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 28% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12%
Most→ECR: 8%
DP~ECR: 3%
DOMiNO-ECR: 3% (+1)
HSS-*: 2% (+1)
Fokus-RE: 1%
Centar-RE: 1% (-1)
IDS-RE: 1% (-1)
PP-*: 1%
NPS-*: 1%
HSU-*: 1%
HSLS-RE: 1%
RF-LEFT: 1%
HNS-RE: 1% (-1)
OiP-*: 0% (-1)
HS-ECR: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 2-5 December 2024

Fieldwork: 4-6 February 2025
Sample size: 1,300

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia, Promocija plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 31% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 28%
Možemo!-G/EFA: 11%
Most→ECR: 8%
DP~ECR: 2% (-1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 2% (-1)
Fokus-RE: 1%
Centar-RE: 1% (-1)
IDS-RE: 1%
PP-*: 1%
NPS-*: 1%
HSS-*: 1%
HSU-*: 1%
OiP-*: 1%
HS-ECR: 1%
HSLS-RE: 1%
RF-LEFT: 1%
HNS-RE: 1%
HDS-EPP: 0%

+/- vs. 8-9 January 2025

Fieldwork: 15-18 February 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia