Trade Watcher
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πŸ“ˆWe track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives.
πŸ“© Reach out: @strategy
加ε…₯钑道
πŸ”₯Stocks: all-time high
πŸ”₯Home Prices: all-time high
πŸ”₯Bitcoin: all-time high
πŸ”₯Gold: all-time high
πŸ”₯Money Supply: all-time high
πŸ”₯National Debt: all-time high
πŸ”₯CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target"

Fed: cutting interest rates next month 🫑


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JUST IN: President Trump announced he will soon converse with European leaders, describing them as "great people who want to see a deal done."
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⚑️ Data centers are eating the grid

US data centers now consume 5% of all electricity, a record high, driven by AI and digital infrastructure.

🟑 Share is set to more than double in the next 5 years
🟑 By 2030, they could use over 10% of all US power
🟑 Up to 40% of new electricity demand by 2030 will come from data centers
🟑 Annual demand growth projected at +23% through 2030

Energy could soon become the biggest bottleneck for AI.


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πŸ“– The trading playbook of Paul Tudor Jones

Paul Tudor Jones is one of the most respected traders alive, the man who famously shorted the 1987 crash and walked away with a reported 200%+ return that year.

For decades, he’s run one of the most successful macro hedge funds, staying profitable through wildly different market regimes.


His rules are blunt, practical, and built from real battle scars:

🟑 Don’t average losers – If the market proves you wrong, adding more just digs the hole deeper.

🟑 Avoid trades you can’t control – Stay out of illiquid markets or situations where a headline can wipe you out.

🟑 Exit when uncomfortable – The moment a trade starts living rent-free in your head, close it.

🟑 Forget your entry price – Your PnL cares about what’s happening now, not where you got in.

🟑 Play defense first – Protect capital like a championship team protects its goal.

🟑 Assume every position is wrong – It keeps you nimble, humble, and quick to cut losses.

🟑 Drop the ego – Overconfidence is the fastest path to blowing up an account.

Jones’ edge isn’t just in spotting trades - it’s in the discipline to protect himself when the market turns.

That’s why these habits aren’t just β€œtips.” They’re survival rules.


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πŸ’± Brazilian real breaks out

The Brazilian real is pushing through a major resistance this month, making it the second-strongest major currency year-to-date.

🟑 First clean breakout in over a decade
🟑 Signals renewed strength in emerging markets
🟑 Most global investors aren’t paying attention yet

EM currencies might be where the next big moves start forming.


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Money isn't the goal.

The goal is to achieve the emotional skills that consistently generate that money.

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❕ Ethereum ETFs raked in over $1bn on Monday, the largest single-day inflow on record by a wide margin.

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πŸ“ˆ Riding bubbles pays best

We’re far from 2021-style euphoria, but if Trump gets his way with the Fed next year, that setup could return.

🟑 Global growth expectations just hit their highest since Feb ’25

🟑 Cash levels remain low at 3.9% β€” near β€œsell” signal territory

🟑 Equity allocations rising for 4 months straight, now 14% overweight (still below extremes)

Big tops form when sentiment, positioning, and liquidity peak together. We’re not there yet, but the climb has started.


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JUST IN: U.S. jobless claims and July PPI data are scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET.

β€’ Jobless claims are expected at 229,000 for the week.
β€’ July Producer Price Index (PPI) is forecasted to rise by 0.2%, with a 0.3% increase excluding food and energy.

Predictions meeting expectations could stabilize market anticipations regarding inflation and economic health.
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JUST IN: The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 3.3% year-over-year, surpassing the forecast of 2.5% and the previous rate of 2.3%.

- US short-term interest rate futures declined following the PPI data.

The higher-than-expected PPI could influence Federal Reserve policy, potentially affecting market interest rates and investor optimism.
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🫡 5 poker lessons every trader should steal

Trading is just poker with a Bloomberg terminal. Same psychology, same math, same way to go broke if you get cocky.

🟑 Have a plan before you sit down β€” good players walk in knowing exactly how they’ll play different situations. Bad ones make it up as they go. Markets punish the second group first.

🟑 Know the odds β€” in poker, you’re calculating your outs. In trading, it’s risk/reward and probabilities. If you can’t do the math, you’re not playing the same game as the winners.

🟑 Play the long game β€” folding is free. Tilt is expensive. Both in cards and charts, survival beats β€œall-in” hero plays.

🟑 Watch the pros β€” poker tells = market sentiment. In both, the edge is spotting what others don’t see and acting before they do.

🟑 Every move moves the table β€” big bets shift psychology. In markets, large buys or sells can create ripples you can ride β€” or get crushed by.

The rules don’t change. Only the chips do.


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JUST IN: Trump describes potential meeting with Putin as a negotiation over boundaries and territories, warning of sanctions if issues aren't resolved.
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πŸ’΅US debt blasts past $37T

Since the debt ceiling was raised in early July, the US has added nearly $800B in just over a month.

🟑 That’s ~$25B per day
🟑 Fiscal dominance β€” when debt dictates monetary policy β€” is looking inevitable
🟑 More debt = more pressure on the Fed to keep rates low and liquidity flowing

Debt bubbles don’t deflate quietly. They get inflated until the currency takes the hit.


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❕ Earlier this year, Warren Buffett quietly spent $5 BILLION on a mystery company, one of his largest accumulations ever.

SEC rules let him keep it secret for a while to accumulate, but he now has just 2 HOURS left before we finally see the stock.

What’s your guess?

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JUST IN: UnitedHealth stock jumps over 7% after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway discloses a new investment in the company.
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JUST IN: Burry has disclosed a new position in $UNH, adding the healthcare giant to his portfolio.

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Stop trading B setups.

A setup is either f*ck yes or f*ck no.
No maybes.


Watch how much more money you make and more importantly watch how much more time you have to live away from the screens.

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