Europe Elects Official
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The official Telegram account for Europe Elects: providing polling aggregation and analysis from all over Europe.

https://europeelects.eu
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#Italy, Demos poll:

FdI-ECR: 28% (-1)
PD-S&D: 20%
M5S-NI: 17%
LEGA-ID: 8%
FI-EPP: 7%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 4%
A-RE: 3% (-1)
IV-RE: 3% (+1)
+E-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 18-20 September 2023

Fieldwork: 6-9 November 2023
Sample size: 1,006

https://europeelects.eu/italy
#Italy, Quorum poll:

FdI-ECR: 30%
PD-S&D: 20% (+1)
M5S-NI: 14%
LEGA-ID: 9% (-1)
FI-EPP: 6%
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 3% (+1)
Italexit-*: 2%
NM-EPP: 2%

+/- vs. 31 October - 2 November 2023

Fieldwork: 7-9 November 2023
Sample size: 802

https://europeelects.eu/italy
#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 20%
M5S-NI: 16%
LEGA-ID: 9% (-1)
FI-EPP: 7% (+1)
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 4%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 2%
Italexit-*: 2%
UP-LEFT: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 31 October - 6 November 2023

Fieldwork: 8-13 November 2023
Sample size: 1,200

https://europeelects.eu/italy
Netherlands: Why did 17 parties win parliamentary representation in the last election?

Who do the leading parties want to form a coalition with? Who is willing to work with the right-wing PVV (ID) of Geert Wilders?

All answers in our new video: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=hME-d1Lh0z0
#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (+1)
AfD-ID: 21%
SPD-S&D: 14% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14%
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FW-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 31 October-6 November 2023

Fieldwork: 7-13 November 2023
Sample size: 2,504

http://europeelects.eu/germany
#Georgia, GORBI poll:

GD~S&D: 55% (+2)
VP-EPP|RE: 20% (-1)
LELO-RE: 4%
Girchi MF/Droa-RE: 4% (+1)
EG-EPP: 3% (+1)
ForGeo~EPP: 3% (+1)
LP-*: 2% (-1)
AP~ECR: 2%
Girchi-*: 1%
C~NI: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 22 April-7 May 2023

Fieldwork: 30 September-20 October 2023
Sample size: 2,024

http://europeelects.eu/georgia/
EU27, Europe Elects seat projection:
Largest national parties in the smallest countries

Malta: 🇲🇹 PN (EPP)
Luxembourg: 🇱🇺 CSV (EPP)
Cyprus: 🇨🇾 AKEL (LEFT)
Estonia: 🇪🇪 RE (RE)
Latvia: 🇱🇻 P (G/EFA)
Slovenia: 🇸🇮 SDS (EPP)

Full report: https://europeelects.eu/2023/10/31/october-2023/
#Moldova: exactly three years, the second round of the 2020 presidential election took place. The election was won by Maia Sandu (*-EPP), who then became the first woman elected president in the country’s history—succeeding the incumbent president Igor Dodon (PSRM~LEFT).

Sandu’s core support base was the diaspora, the centre and south of the country. Her opponent was more popular in the north of the country, in the autonomous Russian-speaking region of Gagauzia (south-west) and in the self-proclaimed Transnistria.

As usual, the map can be purchased (as a poster, postcard, sticker etc) at our official merchandise store:
https://www.redbubble.com/i/poster/Sandu-vs-Dodon-Moldova-2020-presidential-election-second-round-by-EuropeElects/154878410.LVTDI
#Netherlands, Ipsos poll:

VVD-RE: 18%
NSC~EPP: 17%
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 15% (+1)
PVV→ID: 11%
BBB~NI: 6% (-2)
D66-RE: 6%
PvdD-LEFT: 4% (-1)
CU-EPP: 3%
SP→LEFT: 3%
DENK-*: 3%
FvD-NI: 3%
CDA-EPP: 3%
Volt-G/EFA: 2%
SGP-ECR: 2%
JA21-ECR: 1% (-1)
BIJ1-*: 1%
50PLUS-RE: 1%
BVNL-*: 0%

+/- vs. 27-30 October 2023

Fieldwork: 10-13 November 2023
Sample size: 2,052
http://europeelects.eu/netherlands
#Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:

LSDP-S&D: 21% (-2)
TS LKD-EPP: 16% (+1)
LRLS-RE: 12% (-1)
LVŽS-G/EFA: 10%
DSVL→G/EFA: 9%
LP-RE: 5% (-1)
LLRA KŠS-ECR: 5% (+1)
LT~RE: 3% (-2)
LRP→S&D: 3% (n.a)

+/- vs. 18-26 September 2023

Fieldwork: 17-28 October 2023
Sample size: 1,011

https://europeelects.eu/lithuania
#Serbia, NSPM poll:

SNS+-EPP: 39% (-1)
SPN-S&D|RE: 26% (+3)
SPS/JS~S&D: 8% (-2)
Dveri/SSZ~NI: 5% (-1)
NADA~NI: 4%
Narodna~ECR: 3% (n.a.)
SDS/DJB/POB-ECR: 3% (n.a.)
...

+/- vs. 8-18 October 2023

Fieldwork: 5-12 November 2023
Sample size: 1,000

https://europeelects.eu/serbia
Netherlands, I&O Research poll:

VVD-RE: 18% (+1)
NSC→EPP: 16% (-3)
GL/PvdA-S&D|G/EFA: 15% (-1)
PVV→ID: 13% (+2)
BBB~NI: 5%
SP→LEFT: 5% (+1)
D66-RE: 5%
PvdD-LEFT: 4% (+1)
Volt-G/EFA: 3%
FvD-NI: 3%
CDA-EPP: 3%
DENK-*: 3%
SGP-ECR: 3%
CU-EPP: 2%
JA21-ECR: 1%
50PLUS-RE: 1%
BVNL-*: 1%
BIJ1-*: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 6-7 November 2023

Fieldwork: 12-14 November 2023
Sample size: 2,190
http://europeelects.eu/netherlands
Netherlands, I&O Research poll:

Trustworthy as prime minister

Omtzigt (NSC→EPP): 48% (-6)
Yeşilgöz (VVD-RE): 41% (-7)
Timmermans (GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D): 36% (+6)

+/- vs. September 2023

Fieldwork: 12-14 November 2023
Sample size: 1,811
https://europeelects.eu/netherlands
#Slovenia, Mediana poll:

SDS-EPP: 34% (-1)
GS-RE: 22% (-6)
SD-S&D: 11%
NSi-EPP: 7% (-1)
L-LEFT: 6% (+1)
Resnica-*: 4%
PSS-G/EFA: 4% (+2)
SNS→ID: 3% (+1)
Vesna-G/EFA: 3% (+2)


+/- vs. 17-19 October 2023

Fieldwork: 6-9 November 2023
Sample size: 716

https://europeelects.eu/slovenia
#Hungary, Závecz poll:

Scenario: opposition parties run separately

Fidesz/KDNP-NI|EPP: 48% (+2)
DK-S&D: 19%
MH~NI: 8% (-2)
Momentum-RE: 6%
...

+/- vs. 8-18 September 2023

Fieldwork: 29 October - 8 November 2023
Sample size: 1,000

https://europeelects.eu/hungary
#Spain: investiture vote on Pedro Sánchez (PSOE-S&D):

Yes: 179
No: 171
Abstention: 0

As a majority has voted ‘yes’, Sánchez is re-approved as Prime Minister.

He will form a government consisting of PSOE (S&D) and the Sumar alliance (G/EFA|LEFT), with external support from ERC (G/EFA), Junts (NI), EH Bildu (LEFT), EAJ/PNV (RE), BNG (G/EFA) and CC (RE).

https://europeelects.eu/spain
#Greece, Opinion Poll poll:

ND-EPP: 38% (−1)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 16% (+4)
SYRIZA-LEFT: 15% (−2)
KKE-NI: 11% (+1)
EL-ECR: 6%
Niki-*: 4% (−1)
Spartiates-*: 3% (−1)
PE-*: 3%
MeRA25~LEFT: 2% (n.a.)

+/− vs. 21 – 26 September 2023

Fieldwork: 13 – 15 November 2023
Sample size: 1,011
https://europeelects.eu/greece
#Greece: following the recent election results, the election of a new party leader and the exit of MPs, MEPs and other prominent members from the party, SYRIZA (LEFT) appears in the latest Opinion Poll poll in third place, falling behind the centre-left PASOK-KINAL (S&D) for the first time since the May 2012 elections.

https://europeelects.eu/greece
#EU27: Member of European Parliament (MEP) Petros Kokkalis leaves SYRIZA (LEFT).

The party is in crisis following the recent election results, the election of the new party leader and the exit of MPs, MEPs and other prominent members from the party.

The Greek MEP remains in the LEFT group as an independent MEP.

https://europeelects.eu/greece