#Bolivia, Diagnosis poll:

Positive opinion on political figures

Arce (MAS, left): 36% (+2)
Doria (UN, centre-right): 25% (new)
Morales (MAS, left): 25% (+1)
...

(+/- vs. 27-28 May)

Fieldwork: 8-9 July 2023
Sample size: 1,800

#Bolivia, Diagnosis poll:

Positive opinion on political figures

Arce (MAS, left): 36% (+2)
Doria (UN, centre-right): 25% (new)
Morales (MAS, left): 25% (+1)
...

(+/- vs. 27-28 May)

Fieldwork: 8-9 July 2023
Sample size: 1,800

#Bolivia, Diagnosis poll:

Presidential election

Arce (MAS, left): 19% (-)
Mesa (CC, centre-right): 18% (+1)
Morales (MAS, left): 14% (+2)
V. Cuéllar (ind.): 8% (-)
...

(+/- vs. 8-9 Jul)

Fieldwork: 19-20 August 2023
Sample size: 1,800

#Bolivia: At the Congress of MAS-IPSP (left) today, the Political Commission declared Evo Morales the presidential candidate for 2025, and also declared the expulsion of President Arce, VP Choquehuanca, and several other MAS politicians for not attending the Congress.

#Bolivia, CELAG poll:

Approval rating for the performance of President Luis Arce (MAS, left)

Positive: 47.2%
Negative: 50.8%
Don’t know/No answer: 2.0%

Fieldwork: 11 October-6 November 2023
Sample size: 2,000

#Bolivia, CELAG poll:

"What's your opinion on President Luis Arce (MAS, left)?"

Positive: 39.4%
Negative: 54.5%
Don’t know: 1.2%

Fieldwork: 11 October-6 November 2023
Sample size: 2,000

#Bolivia: The Constitutional Court has reversed a previous decision establishing indefinite re-election as a human right, ruling that Presidents can only be elected to two terms in total, which would disqualify ex-President and current candidate Evo Morales (MAS, left).

#Bolivia, Captura Consulting poll:

Presidential election

Arce (MAS, left): 20%
Reyes Villa (Súmate, conservative|right): 15%
Rodríguez (MAS, left): 13%
...

Fieldwork: 24 January-8 February 2024
Sample size: 850

#Bolivia, Diagnosis poll:

Presidential election

Arce (MAS, left): 21% (-1)
Morales (MAS, left): 15% (-1)
Mesa (CC, centre-right): 12% (-)
...

(+/- vs. 20-21 Jan)

Fieldwork: 16-17 March 2024
Sample size: 1,800

#Bolivia, Celag poll:

"Which opposition figure is more capable to defeat the MAS candidate"

Reyes (Sumate, Conservative|Right): 19%
Mesa (CC, Centre-right): 12%
Camacho (Creemos, Right): 8%
...

Fieldwork: 11 Abril - 11 May 2024
Sample size: 2,000

#Bolivia: Following condemnation by Luis Arce (MAS, left) and Evo Morales (MAS) of remarks by army general Juan José Zúñiga that Morales will not be allowed to run for President, Zúñiga launched a coup attempt and tanks have surrounded the presidential palace.

However coup leader General Zúñiga and his forces have now withdrawn from the plaza at the presidential palace following President Arce's (MAS, left) appointment of a new military high command, which ordered the coup plotters to stand down.

#Bolivia: An attacker shot at the car of former President Evo Morales (MAS, left). Morales was unharmed but his driver was injured. The attack comes amidst nationwide protests and blockades by the former President’s supporters against the current government.

#Bolivia: The Plurinational Constitutional Tribunal has affirmed the validity of the May 2024 congress of the MAS-IPSP (left) held by Luis Arce’s faction, confirming the election of Grover García as MAS president and invalidating the claim of Evo Morales and his faction.

#Bolivia, Morris&Co poll:

Presidential election

Reyes Villa (Súmate, conservative|right): 36%
Rodriguez (MAS, left): 26%
Quiroga (Libre 21, conservative): 14%
Arce (MÁS, left): 12 (-43)
…

+/- vs 2020 election

Fieldwork: 15 November 2024
Sample size: 15,465

#Bolivia, Panterra poll:

Presidential election

Morales (MAS, left): 23%
Reyes Villa (Súmate, conservative|right): 23%
Medina (Ind, *): 17%
Camacho (Creemos, right): 11% (-3)
…

+/- vs 2020 election

Fieldwork: 2 - 15 November 2024
Sample size: 2,000

#Bolivia: The Tarija prosecutor's office has charged former President Evo Morales (MAS, left) with human trafficking and issued an arrest warrant for him.

#Bolivia, Diagnosis poll:

Presidential election

Reyes Villa (APB-S, conservative|right): 18% (+7)
Rodríguez (MAS, left): 12% (+1)
Quiroga (FRI, centre-right): 12% (new)
...

(+/- vs. 21-22 Sep 2024)

Fieldwork: 11-12 January 2025
Sample size: 1,800

#Bolivia, Bolivia 360 poll:

Presidential election

A. Rodriguez (MAS, left): 16%
Reyes Villa (Sumate, conservative|right): 15%
Chi (Ind, *): 13%
Quiroga (Libre, conservative): 9%
...

+/- vs. 2020 election

Fieldwork: 5 - 21 January 2025
Sample size: 2,000

#Bolivia, Captura Consulting poll:

Presidential election

Quiroga (Libre, conservative): 19%
Medina (UN, centre-right): 16%
Reyes Villa (Sumate, conservative | right): 14% Morales (MAS, left): 8%
…

Fieldwork: 23 January - 7 February 2025
Sample size: 850

#Bolivia: Due to losing legal control of the MAS-IPSP (left), Evo Morales has announced he will run for President this year with the Front for Victory, a minor party which was previously the party of conservative candidate Chi Hyun Chung in 2020.