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The official Telegram account for America Elects: providing polling aggregation and election analysis from all over the Americas.

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#Ecuador: Hours after Mexico granted asylum in their embassy to former VP Jorge Glas (RC, left), who is facing legal charges related to the misuse of funds, Ecuadorian police have broken into the embassy. Glas' current status is unknown.
#Ecuador: Assembly member Guido Vargas (PSP, centre-right) has been kicked from the Assembly group 'The 6th and Allies', according to a statement put out by the party leadership on Sunday. Despite this, he still remains as a member of the party.
#Ecuador: National referendum on popular consultation and constitutional reform questions today:

➤ Number of ballot questions: 11
➤ Registered voters: 13,654,291
➤ Polls open: 7 AM-5 PM local
#Ecuador: Today the country votes on 11 popular consultation and constitutional reform proposals. Here's our explanation of what's on the ballot and who is supporting and opposing the measures.
America Elects Official
#Ecuador: Today the country votes on 11 popular consultation and constitutional reform proposals. Here's our explanation of what's on the ballot and who is supporting and opposing the measures.
#Ecuador: Current results from the referendum today show a victory for nine of the questions, and a defeat for the amendment reforming the Labour Code and the amendment that would have allowed Ecuador to adopt international arbitration agreements.
#Ecuador, Comunicaliza poll:

Approval rating for President Daniel Noboa (PID, centre)

Approve: 52% (-7)
Disapprove: 39% (+7)

(+/- vs. 9-12 May)

Fieldwork: 26-28 June 2024
Sample size: 4,333
#Ecuador, Comunicaliza poll:

Presidential election

Noboa (PID, centre): 51%
L. González (RC, left): 34%
Iza (MUPP, indigenous): 5%
Kronfle (PSC, centre-right): 2%

Fieldwork: 26-28 June 2024
Sample size: 4,333
#Ecuador, Comunicaliza poll:

Presidential election

Noboa (PID, centre): 53%
Jalkh (RC, left): 29%
Iza (MUPP, indigenous): 6%
Kronfle (PSC, centre-right): 3%

Fieldwork: 26-28 June 2024
Sample size: 4,333
#Ecuador, presidential election, Maluk Research poll:

González (RC, left): 39.7%
Noboa (ADN, centre-right): 27.8%
Topić (SUMA, centre-right): 6.0%
Serrano (CD, centre-left): 3.2%
Iza (MUPP, indigenous): 3.1%


Fieldwork: Aug 18-31
Size: 4,516
#Ecuador: The Electoral Tribunal has disqualified Jan Topić (SUMA, centre-right) from the 2025 presidential election on the grounds that he is improperly invested in companies holding state contracts. Topić came fourth in the 2023 election.
#Ecuador, Comunicaliza poll

Presidential election

Noboa (ADN, centre-right): 36%
Gonzalez (RC, left): 33%
Salazar (MUPP, indigenous): 2.5%
Jairala (CD, centre-left): 1.3%

+/- vs 2023 election

Fieldwork: 11 - 15 December 2024
Sample size: 4,486
#Ecuador, Altica Research poll:

Presidential election

Gonzalez (RC, left): 46% (+12)
Noboa (ADN, centre-right): 39% (+15)
Tabacchi (CREO, conservative): 5%
Salazar (MUPP, indigenous): 4%

+/- vs 2023 election

Fieldwork: 1 - 7 December 2024
Sample size: 1,000
#Ecuador, Cedatos poll:

Presidential election

Noboa (ADN, centre-right): 48% (+20)
Gonzalez (RC|RETO, left|centre-right): 33% (-1) Jairala (CD, centre-left): 5% Tabacchi (CREO, conservative): 4%

+/- 2023 election

Fieldwork: 17 - 20 December 2024
Sample size: 3,444
#Ecuador, Cedatos poll:

Legislative election

RC (left): 28% (-12)
ADN (centre-right): 23% CREO (conservative): 4%
CD (centre-left): 3%
MUPP (indigenous): 2%


+/- vs 2023 election

Fieldwork: 17 - 20 December 2024
Sample size: 3,444
#Ecuador, comunicaliza poll:

Presidential election

Noboa (ADN, centre-right): 40% (+4)
L. Gonzalez (RC, left): 35% (+2)
A. Gonzalez (PSP, centre-right): 4% (+3)
Iza (MUPP, indigenous): 2%


+/- 11 - 15 December 2024

Fieldwork: 20 - 22 January 2025
Sample size: 4,486
#Ecuador, IPSOS poll:

Presidential election

Noboa (ADN, centre-right): 47%
L. Gonzalez (RC, left): 32%
A. Gonzalez (PSP, center-right): 5%
Iza (MUPP, indigenous): 3%
...

Fieldwork: 20 - 24 January 2024
Sample size: 2,000
#Ecuador, presidential election:

Preliminary results: 90.3% counted

Noboa (ADN, centre-right): 44.3% (-0.1)
L. González (RC, left): 43.9% (+0.1)
Iza (MUPP, indigenous): 5.2% (+0.4)
...

(+/- vs. 80% counted)
#Ecuador: This election marks a shift towards two-party dominance. Leonidas Iza’s (MUPP, indigenous) result of 5.3% is the lowest for a third-placing presidential candidate since 1933. The top two candidates have a combined total of 88%.
#Ecuador, preliminary seat count results:

ADN (centre-right): 66
RC (left): 65
MUPP (indigenous): 9
PSC (centre-right): 4
#Ecuador: Here is our map of results in the first round of the presidential election. It was a close race, with Luisa González (RC|RETO, left|centre-right) winning most provinces on the coast and Daniel Noboa (ADN, centre-right) winning mostly in the interior.