America Elects Official
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The official Telegram account for America Elects: providing polling aggregation and election analysis from all over the Americas.

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#Jamaica (Kingston and St. Andrew local elections):

Final result (40/40 council seats declared)

PNP (centre-left): 20 (+1)
JLP (centre-right): 20 (-1)

(+/- vs. 2016 local elections)

21 seats needed for a majority
#Jamaica (Hanover local elections):

Final result (7/7 council seats declared)

PNP (centre-left): 7 (+3)

(+/- vs. 2016 local elections)

4 seats needed for a majority
#Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll:

PNP (centre-left): 55.9% (+2.7)
JLP (centre-right): 44.1% (-2.7)

(+/- vs. 24 Nov-7 Dec 2023)

Fieldwork: 4-12 April 2024
Sample size: 1,057

This is the opposition PNP's highest polling result since the 2020 general election.
#Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll:

PNP (centre-left): 56.0% (+0.1)
JLP (centre-right): 44.0% (-0.1)

PNP's highest polling result since the 2020 general election

(+/- vs. April 2024)

Fieldwork: June 2024
Sample size: N/A
#Jamaica, North Eastern Saint Ann by-election preliminary result:

Samuda (JLP, centre-right): 94.9% (+29.9)
Anderson (ind.): 4.4%
Neil (UIC, libertarian): 0.6%

(+/- vs. 2020 election result)

JLP HOLD

Turnout: 11.6%

Senator Matthew Samuda is elected MP.
#Jamaica, Nationwide/Bluedot poll:

JLP (centre-right): 53% (-)
PNP (centre-left): 47% (-)

(+/- vs. 19 January-6 February 2024)

Fieldwork: 6-19 September 2024
Sample size: 1,246
America Elects Official
#Jamaica, Nationwide/Bluedot poll: JLP (centre-right): 53% (-) PNP (centre-left): 47% (-) (+/- vs. 19 January-6 February 2024) Fieldwork: 6-19 September 2024 Sample size: 1,246
#Jamaica, Nationwide/Bluedot poll:

Seat Projection

JLP (centre-right): 33 (-16)
PNP (centre-left): 30 (+16)

(+/- vs. 2020 election result)

Fieldwork: 6-19 September 2024
Sample size: 1,246
#Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll:

PNP (centre-left): 56.5% (+0.5)
JLP (centre-right): 43.5% (-0.5)

(+/- vs. June 2024)

Fieldwork: 27 September-3 October 2024
Sample size: 1,012
#Jamaica, Saint Andrew North Western by-election result:

Smith (JLP, centre-right): 94.4%
Marshall (ind.): 5.6%
Banks (ind.): 0.0%

JLP HOLD

Turnout: 6.2%

Councillor Smith succeeds ex-Finance Minister and IMF deputy Clarke as MP. His father was MP from 1989 to 2018.
#Jamaica, Trelawny Southern by-election result:

Dalrymple-Philibert (JLP, centre-right): 74.3%
Gillings (ind.): 25.7%

JLP HOLD

Turnout: 22.3%

Dalrymple-Philibert resigned as Speaker and vacated the seat last year over eight charges for failing to declare a vehicle.
#Jamaica: The government has tabled a bill to remove King Charles (*) as head of state and become a republic, pending reviews, a parliamentary vote, and a referendum. The opposition has concerns over the timing and lack of plans to replace the UK Privy Council.