🇰🇿 - Central Asia may be a "good" place for the anti-Russian liberals and nationalists to open another front, according to chatter I heard. There is 14% of Russians in Kazakhstan, and the liberals out there pretty much outplayed the government back in 2022, just a month before the invasion of Ukraine. The ruling regime needed a fully fledged Russian military bail out.

But, if another uprising happen, would such a bail out happen? Well, if Russia didn't prioritize Kursk, one could wonder if they would defend the regime in Kazakhstan.

🇷🇸🇫🇷 - Macron, Vucic confirms the long-rumored Rafales deal. Serbia will get 12 rafales from France.

This deal has been rumored since the early days of Global Intel Watch at least, so since the summer of 2022.

Serbia buying Rafaels instead of their traditional strategy of focusing on air defence means one of 2 things:

1) Serbia believes there is some scenario where their use or the threat of their use in the Balkans will lead to a more favourable outcome for Serbia (in a conflict with Kosovo/Albania or Bosnia), and not a NATO escalation against Serbia

2) Serbia is spending massive amounts of money on things they have no use for because of western pressure/desire for good relations with the west

🇷🇸🇫🇷 - I asked something to a fellow admin.

I asked "What if tomorrow morning there is the usual quarterly rhetoric escalation around Kosovo, a Serbian minister say something and then you have Jasmin Muhanovic starting to shame France on the EU level for the deal? Could France walk back from the deal?"

The answer, to which I agree, is "US can get away with selling stuff to Bulgaria and then not delivering it because the president is pro-Russian. Because they are the US. If France has such behavior, they will likely not be able to sell stuff to non-aligned countries for a long time."

🇸🇾🇺🇸 - The US military base at the Conoco gas field in the eastern countryside of Deir Ezzor, Syria, is being targeted by rocket strikes.

- Al Mayadeen

🇺🇸🇪🇺 - My view on the whole "White Men are treated like trash" talking point: Yes they are in many Western countries. Not in Quebec, at least if they are French-speaking, tho.

Furthermore, this kind of calculus akin to "We oppress this or that group since gonzillions of years, they have done minor outburst of violence but nothing serious, the status quo will endure forever because the folks we oppress are too coward to do something about it" has been done a lot of time in history.

And, the boring, unsatisfying answer to this is: Yes its true. This calculus exist. It holds true for sometimes a long time. Until it stops. And the situation reverses.

🇷🇺🇺🇦 - About long term history.

Imagine you are an historian studying Russia, but from 1000 years in the future.

The timelapse between the fall of the Berlin wall and February 24, 2022, which is about 33 years, would likely be explained within like 15 minutes by historians from that era, giving the feeling it was a very quick sequence of events.

Ngl there is a comfy vibe of randomly walking down the street and finding out that the whole neighborhood is dancing to some Italian artist near a bar and then start dancing with them for 3 seconds before walking your way back happy of what you’ve heard and saw.

🇲🇳🇷🇺 - If you look at where Mongolia is on the world map, its pretty obvious that, no, they won't arrest Putin and send him to the Hague. In fact, they are so geographically isolated from the democratic world that I'm not sure that either China or Russia, which are the only neighbors of this landlocked nation, would even let a plane with Putin reach the Hague.

🇺🇸 - Foreign Policy is apart of the Academic establishment. The fact they go live on such a topic shows how bad people view the situation in America.