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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎞Chronicle of Battles in Mykolaiv-Beryslav Direction
October 4-7

🔻After the Russian army regrouped on 4 October, the AFU consolidated its position at the Sukhyi Stavok - Davydiv Brid - Mala Oleksandrivka - Tryfonivka - Dudchany. The Ukrainian unis did not stop there and continued their offensive towards Kherson and Nova Kakhovka.

▪️On the same day, in the Posad-Pokrovske sector, AFU mobile groups attempted to break through the Russian defenses near Blahodatne and Ternovi Pody, but Russian artillery forced the enemy to retreat.

▪️On the following day, the Ukrainian command regrouped the forces and continued the offensive in the Mykolaiv direction. Some troops were withdrawn from Mykolaiv to the second echelon, and a column of AFU military equipment was relocated to the Andriivka section.

▪️By the evening of 5 October, the AFU launched a simultaneous offensive in three sections of the front. They attempted to take the Russian Armed Forces' positions, with small assault groups attacking it.

▪️On the night of 5-6 October, several Ukrainian sabotage reconnaissance groups of four people each conducted a raid on Russian positions to the south of Davydiv Brid and around Pyatykhatky in order to find vulnerabilities in the Russian defences.

▪️On the morning of 6 October, AFU assault teams reinforced with armoured vehicles and supported by three artillery crews launched an offensive from Novohryhorivka to Ternovi Pody. Russian forces successfully repelled the attack.

▪️In the afternoon of 7 October, the AFU used their numerical superiority and began advancing from the area of Dudchany and Davydiv Brid. Russian forces hold their ground with the support of artillery and aviation.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎞Explosion on Crimean Bridge
Events Chronicle of October 8

▪️At 6.05 a.m. Moscow time, there was an explosion on the bridge across the Kerch Strait linking the Crimean peninsula and the Krasnodar region.

▪️The explosion demolished three spans on the road section of the structure and damaged one and a half kilometres of railway tracks. Drivers and passengers of vehicles that were travelling on the bridge at the time of the detonation were killed.

▪️Immediately after the terrorist act, Russian services began working to reopen the bridge. By 4 p.m. the reversible traffic on the surviving road section of the bridge had been launched and by 8 p.m. the first train arrived on the peninsula.

▪️It will take one to three months to replace the damaged sections of the bridge. Until then, vehicular traffic on the facility will be restricted, rail traffic will remain at the same volume.

▪️The exact reasons for the explosion are not yet known. Analysis of open source data suggests that it was either the detonation of a passing truck by charges at a given location or the detonation of bombs mounted on the bridge spans.

▪️Disabling a section of the Crimean bridge would have little effect on the supply of the Russian Armed Forces grouping near Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, coming from the Crimean side. The delivery of equipment and fuel from the mainland to the peninsula is carried out by rail, which had already been fully restored by the evening.

▪️Although the attempt to completely disable the bridge failed, the Ukrainian command may attempt another attack on the Crimean Bridge to cut off supplies to the peninsula and complicate the position of Russian forces in Mykolaiv-Kherson and Zaporizhzhia directions.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎞Chronicle of Battles in the Starobilsk direction
October 7-11

▪️After leaving Lyman and Kupyansk, Russian troops were able to delay the AFU offensive and dig in on the borders of Tavilzhanka — Vilshana — Orlyanske and Raihorodka — Kreminna.

▪️On October 7, Cossacks of the 208th Cossack regiment made an audacious raid on Ukrainian positions in Dibrova. During the fightings, the AFU suffered losses and withdrew from the settlement.

▪️On the same day, units of the 14th separate mech brigade tried to storm the Russian Armed Forces' positions in Tavilzhanka. Russian troops repulsed the attack and destroyed several units of enemy armored vehicles.

▪️Due to failures in the Tavilzhanka area, the AFU command focused on crashing into the Russian Armed Forces' defence at the Vilshana - Pershotravneve line, trying to break through to the Troitske — Pokrovske — Nova Duvanka — Svatove line.

▪️There are several thousand AFU fighters concentrated on the Lyman Svatove sector. The Ukrainian reconnaissance groups has repeatedly tried to implement attacks in Kreminna, but they all ended in failure.

▪️On the night of October 10-11, Ukrainian units attempted to storm Russian positions in the Kreminna area. However, Russian Armed Forces' units not only repulsed the offensive, but also launched a counterattack.

▪️During the battle, Russian units managed to take the settlements of Terny and Novosadove. The units defending them, 66th mech brigade and 111st separate territorial defence brigade, were ejected and pushed back from settlements.

▪️Despite AFU's efforts to break through to Svatove and Kreminna, Russian Armed Forces were able to slow down the onslaught and stabilize the front. The Russian command continues to transfer reserves to the front line, engineering brigades are erecting fortifications for defence.

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🇷🇺🇺🇦🎞Starobilsk Direction
Chronicle of Battles, October 11-13

▪️Though the adversary managed to advance toward Svatove and Kreminna, the Russian Armed Forces managed to counterattack and level the front along the left bank of the Zherebets River.

▪️Ukrainian units retain a staging point in the northern part of the eastern bank, using it to attempt to to push through the Russian defenses.

▪️In the Tavilzhanka section, the AFU offensive was also disrupted: Ukrainian units were partly withdrawn to the western bank of the Oskil River.

▪️At this point, the AFU command concentrated its efforts on cutting into the defensive lines of the Russian forces and reaching Verkhnya Duvanka and Svatove.

▪️The AFU managed to break the Russian troops’ defense in Kislovka for some time and enter the locality. The Russian forces managed to regain control of the settlement and dislodge the enemy within a day.

▪️Having pulled in the reserves, Ukrainian units attempted an unsuccessful assault on Kotlyarivka on October 12. The AFU were subsequently forced to retreat to Kupyansk.

▪️To the south, the AFU failed to force Zherebets and take a staging point to start an offensive towards Svatove.

▪️The AFU command keeps trying to entrench on both banks of the Zherebets River. The reserves that are assigned to take Svatove in the nearest future are concentrated in Dvorichne, Kupyansk and Lyman.

▪️The local successes of the Russian Armed Forces in the Starobilsk direction show that in this section of the front the Russian command managed to adapt to the situation and draw lessons from the loss of Balakliya, Izyum, Kupyansk and Lyman.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎞AFU Offensive in Starobilsk direction
Chronicle of Battles, October 21-25, 2022

▪️Having been defeated in the battles for Horobivka, the Ukrainian units turned to defense north of Kupyansk. Territorial defense units were redeployed to the front lines. After repeated attempts to storm the heights in the Kyslivka Orlyanske area, the AFU was tasked with flanking the fortified area.

▪️Having carried out contact reconnaissance, the AFU attempted to take Russian positions in Pervomaiske Orlyanske and Berestove Kuzemivka sections.

▪️The direction of the AFU main attack was from Makiivka in the direction of Chervonopopivka. On October 21, up to three Ukrainian 66th Separate Brigade’s battalion task groups, reinforced with armored vehicles, attempted to break the defense line of the Russian 20th Army and reach the road Svatove Kreminna, but the attempt failed.

For two days, Ukrainian units kept trying to consolidate on the heights between Makiivka and Chervonopopivka, but were forced to retreat under artillery fire, suffering heavy losses in manpower and equipment.

▪️Ukrainian units failed to expand the staging point towards Nevske. After 4 days of fighting, the AFU units lost their offensive potential. Now they stsand in need of rotation and reinforcements.

▪️The territorial defense units in the AFU rear near Borova and Kupyansk suffered significant losses from the Russian Armed Forces’ artillery fire.

▪️The AFU command moved a reserve of mercenary units and Western PMCs to Lyman to task less Ukrainian units and replenish the advancing group.

🔻Most likely, in the future, Ukrainian units will try to occupy heights at the Kyslivka Orlyanske line and reach Verkhnya Duvanka with a subsequent breakthrough to Belgorod region borders and block the supply of the Russian Armed Forces in Svatove.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎞 Fighting in the Starobilsk direction
Chronicle of battles for October 26-30, 2022

🔻Fighting for Kyslivka — Orlyanske heights

▪️Ukrainian formations do not stop launching suicidal attempts to bypass the heights in the Kislovka-Orlyanske sector and take Russian positions. Some of the units that participated in the failed offensives, due to high losses, refuse to go on assault.

🔻Fighting in the Berestove — Kuzemivka area

The Ukrainian command set the task of breaking through the Russian defense at any cost and exiting the Nyzhnia Duvanka-Svatove highway.

▪️Numerous enemy attacks were repulsed, and the advancing units were driven back, and retreated to their original positions in the Kharkov region.

Having rotated, the ukrainian formations once again tried to squeeze the RF Armed Forces out of Kuzemivka. Having suffered losses, the enemy was forced to retreat.

▪️Russian troops carried out a successful counterattack on ukrainian positions on the left bank of the Zherebets' River. Novosadove was recaptured and Makiivka was completely cleared. Ukrainian formations, mixed with foreign mercenaries, repeatedly tried to recapture Makiivka, but failed.

🔻Fighting for Chervonopopivka

Another area of regular clashes was Chervonopopivka: the Armed Forces of Ukraine were advancing from Terny and Torske.

▪️Regardless of their own losses, the Ukrainian command is trying to starve out the Russian troops, constantly introducing new reinforcements into the unit.

🔻For a week of fighting, the Ukrainian formations failed to complete any of the assigned tasks. The Russian troops not only withstood all the attacks, but also returned some of the lost positions, continuing to strengthen the front line.

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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Об активизации российской армии на некоторых участках фронта

В условиях серьёзной эскалации обстановки на Ближнем Востоке из виду выпали события, происходящие на Украине. Команда Мести доброй воли, говоря об активизации ВС РФ на нескольких участках фронта, отметила важную особенность.

С понедельника нашим войскам удалось уверенно отбить 6,2 км² территории локальными атаками без задействования больших средств. А противник, имея многотысячные резервы и поставки западной техники, с мая по данным LostArmour занял лишь 260 км².

🔻Действительно, отдельные подразделения ВС РФ перешли в контратаку. Это не полномасштабное наступление, а движение с целью занятия более выгодных рубежей. Так, фронт пришел в движение под Купянском, Макеевкой, Бахмутом, на Донецком направлении, у Марьинки, на Времьевском участке, и даже на Пологовском.

О результатах говорить пока рано. Но такая тактика выглядит оправданной. ВС РФ наносят колкие удары, выискивая наименее защищённый участок и растягивая оборону противника. Это при том, что ресурсов у ВСУ становится всё меньше (они по-прежнему есть, но с каждым разом потенциал снижается).

Особое внимание стоит уделить некому ступору в украинской медиасреде. Сразу после начала событий в зоне израильско-палестинского конфликта на Украине будто впали в прострацию из-за непонимания, что нужно делать. Блеклые заявления Зеленского тому подтверждение.

Карта в высоком разрешении

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