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Analysis, Research, Intelligence and Comments with focus on former USSR, Greater Middle East and Southern Asia

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Madmen and brinkmanship is a signature of US and UK. If they actually mean what they say, than they've lost touch with reality, and war is unavoidable:

«Putin, Ukraine and the madman theory of diplomacy
Western leaders cling to the hope that the Russian leader is bluffing about an invasion»
Full source: https://www.ft.com/content/3d8b94e9-0db7-4aa5-ac6a-9fef2ce43ab6
«There are no random people in pre-trial detention centers. Only suspects of serious crimes are under arrest

This was stated by the Prosecutor General's Office, commenting on the investigation of the January riots.

467 people were taken into custody on suspicion of organizing and participating in mass riots and committing terrorist acts.

2 women and 9 minors detained after the January riots have been released.
https://yangx.top/sputnikKZ/16192»
The US is working from the assumption that sanctions will come no matter what - with or without invasion:

«The U.S. government had asked Japan to consider economic sanctions in preparation for a Russian military invasion over the escalating tensions in Ukraine.The U.S. government had asked Japan to consider economic sanctions in preparation for a Russian military invasion over the growing situation in Ukraine.

According to a U.S.-Japan diplomatic source, at the U.S.-Japan summit on 1/21, the U.S. side explained economic sanctions in the event of a military invasion of Ukraine, and asked Japan to align itself in the direction of imposing sanctions.

Japan has said it is pending a response.

On the other hand, adjustments are continuing to be made regarding economic sanctions, as it is believed that there are differences in temperature in European allies such as Germany, which relies on Russia's resources.»
https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/b6bae8a73b1ff9d19d446e33f1b2263fcdd68b7f»
Has the KIev regime started to clear the minefields they've laid already?

«The PRC stated that the Kiev security forces, in preparation for an offensive operation, are already replenishing ammunition for ATGM and preparing equipment for use»
https://yangx.top/rian_ru/143918
Don't agree with his political leanings, but Sergey Elkin has a good caricature — every now and then...
«🇧🇾🇹🇯 Lukashenko: Tajikistan can join the Union State.
According to him, it would be beneficial for the Central Asian countries to join the union of Russia and Belarus for the sake of improving well-being.
"Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, I think, due to their necessity, primarily economic, will also join," the Belarusian president explained in an interview with the YouTube channel "Solovyov Live".»
@SputnikTj
https://yangx.top/SputnikTj/5721
«Detentions in the National Security Committee of Kazakhstan continue
The first deputy director of the Special Purpose Service "A" of the KNB and the head of the Service Center were detained on suspicion of abuse of power.
Earlier, the former head of the KNB Karim Massimov and his two former deputies Anuar Sadykulov and Daulet Ergozhin were taken into custody.
They are suspected of treason, actions aimed at forcible seizure of power, and abuse of power.
In total, 5 people are under investigation from the top of the KNB.»
@sputnikKZ
https://yangx.top/sputnikKZ/16263
«Simple questions.
If Russia is going to invade Ukraine and for this somewhere has a 100,000 grouping gathered, then:
1. Where is this group?
2. Why to protect against "Russian aggression", the Ukrainian army has collected a 120,000 group, but it is not focused on the areas of potential impact, but on the border with the Donbass , where according to the OSCE mission there is no Russian army there.
3. All weapons intended to resist the "aggression of Russia" end up at the border with Donbass, where (see paragraph 2) there is no Russian army.
4. In case of de-escalation of tension, where will all the weapons provided by NATO countries to Ukraine go?
5. How will the poor Balts, Poles and others who have given a significant part of their weapons to Ukraine defend themselves, both from "aggressive Russia" and from gangs of Ukrainian nationalists (it's easier for the Balts. There is no common border)
6. What happened to the cognitive function of European leaders if they do not ask themselves such simple questions and do not see the simplest solution to de-escalation. Withdraw the Armed Forces to the distances described in the first paragraphs of the Minsk Agreements.
7. Or the answer is very simple. The West has decided that right now it is necessary to mix all the cards on the table and throw Ukraine into the inferno of war through the start of a military operation in Donbass. That's just despite the European leaders realize that the whole of Europe will lose from such a war. And it is not a fact that the fighting will be limited to the territory of Ukraine, and will not spread to neighboring states.»
https://yangx.top/SolovievLive/85426
So "Russian Intelligence" is following companies on Linked-In and reads what they write? 😂
«Dutch intelligence accused Russian intelligence services of spying on companies
Dutch intelligence believes that Russian intelligence services are engaged in surveillance of companies using LinkedIn, a social network designed to find and establish business contacts. Thousands of employees working…»
https://news1.ru/archives/79123
What we already knew: The right to territorial integrity does not apply to Russia, says the US:

«Oh, how! The United States supports Japan's territorial claims to Russia in terms of ownership of the Southern Kuriles, said the American ambassador to Tokyo, Rahm Emanuel.
https://yangx.top/igor_korotchenko/7944»
«Putin drew attention to the symbolism of the date of the meeting with Macron:

"It is symbolic that we are meeting today, because exactly thirty years ago the fundamental agreement on special relations between Russia and France was signed. And I must say that for all these years France has been taking an active part in solving fundamental issues of European security."»
https://yangx.top/zvezdanews/67549
Basically, the US is burying the post-WW2 order and sets the world on fire (or tries to, very hard):

«US Ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel:

"On this day, February 7, when Japan celebrates the Day of the Northern Territories, I want to be very clear - the United States supports Japan in the issue of the Northern Territories."

That is, the United States openly withdrew from the decisions of the 1945 Yalta Conference.

I assume that this is a landmark decision with disastrous consequences for the security of Europe.»
https://yangx.top/breegtime/47355»
Western intelligence gathering activities, Feb. 6, 2022:
It's a danger in itself, not least because Kiev does not have full control over all units. And it's also damaging minds for the future:

«There is a mass war psychosis in Ukraine. Thousands of representatives of Nezalezhnaya broadcast Russophobia on social networks. The level of hatred is just over the top. Children, women and the elderly train with wooden dummy machine guns to repel "Russian aggression".
https://yangx.top/igor_korotchenko/7945»