Türkiye, Di-En poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round between Erdoğan (AKP~NI) and İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D))

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 54% (+9)
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 46% (-4)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 29 January-2 February 2025
Sample size: 2,744

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

UK (#Anguilla):

Parliamentary election today,

➤ Eligible voters: 12,549
➤ Polls open: 6AM-7PM local
➤ Government: Premier Ellis Webster's APM (centre-left)
➤ 3 parties
➤ 11 seats
➤ Term: 5 years
➤ Voting system: FPTP, plurality at large

#UnitedKingdom

Moldova, Intellect Group poll:

Presidential election

Sandu (*-EPP): 46% (+4)
Stoianoglo (*): 20% (-6)
Dodon (PSRM~LEFT): 11% (n.a.)
Usatîi (PN-*): 7% (-7)
Ceban (MAN~S&D): 5% (n.a.)
Vlah (PRIM-*): 5%
Voronin (PCRM-LEFT): 4% (n.a.)
Chicu (PDCM-*): 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 2024 presidential election

Fieldwork: 13-21 February 2025
Sample size: 1,179

➤ europeelects.eu/moldova

Moldova, Intellect Group poll:

PAS-EPP: 44% (+4)
PSRM~LEFT: 21% (+4)
BA~S&D: 12% (new)
PN-*: 9% (-6)
BV-*: 7% (-6)
PRIM-*: 4% (new)
PCRM-LEFT: 2% (-2)
BÎ-EPP: 2% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 13-15 October 2024

Fieldwork: 13-21 February 2025
Sample size: 1,179

➤ europeelects.eu/moldova

Moldova: Blocul Alternativa (~S&D) political bloc appears in the poll for the first time, with 11.6% in the latest Intellect Group poll.

The creation of the BA (~S&D) political bloc was announced last month as consisting former presidential candidate Stoianoglo (supported by PSRM~LEFT but now independent) and 3 parties: MAN (~S&D), PCC (*) and PDCM (*).

➤ http://europeelects.eu/moldova

Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 29% (-2)
EKRE-PfE: 17%
KE-RE|ECR: 16% (+3)
RE-RE: 15% (-2)
SDE-S&D: 11% (-1)
PP→EPP: 5% (+2)
E200→EPP: 4% (+1)
EER-G/EFA: 1%
KOOS-*: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 10-16 February 2025

Fieldwork: 17-23 February 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/estonia

UK (#Anguilla): Polls close soon in the 2025 Anguillian parliamentary elections, at 7pm local time. Early voting was available yesterday for voters aged 70 and over, incapacitated, election workers, and first responders. A total of 11 seats are up for contention.

#UnitedKingdom

UK (GB), More in Common poll:

CON~ECR: 25% (+2)
REFORM~NI: 24% (-2)
LAB-S&D: 23% (-2)
LDEM-RE: 16% (+4)
GREENS-G/EFA: 8% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 2%
PC-G/EFA: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 14-18 February 2025

Fieldwork: 21-24 February 2025
Sample size: 2,013

➤ europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Sweden, Novus poll:

S-S&D: 35% (+1)
SD-ECR: 21% (+1)
M-EPP: 19% (-1)
V-LEFT: 7% (-1)
MP-G/EFA: 6%
C-RE: 4% (-1)
L-RE: 3%
KD-EPP: 3%

+/- vs. 13-24 January 2025

Fieldwork: 10-21 February 2025
Sample size: 2,097

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Sweden, Indikator Opinion poll:

S-S&D: 36% (+1)
SD-ECR: 20%
M-EPP: 19%
V-LEFT: 8%
MP-G/EFA: 6%
C-RE: 5%
L-RE: 3%
KD-EPP: 3%

+/- vs. 13 January - 2 February 2025

Fieldwork: 3-25 February 2025
Sample size: 6,889

➤ https://europeelects.eu/sweden

#Netherlands, Verian poll:

PVV-PfE: 22% (-2)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 17% (+1)
VVD-RE: 15% (+1)
CDA-EPP: 10%
D66-RE: 8% (+1)
SP~LEFT: 6% (+1)
PvdD-LEFT: 3% (-1)
CU-EPP: 3% (+1)
SGP-ECR: 3% (+1)
...


+/- vs. 24-27 January 2025

Fieldwork: 21-24 February 2025
Sample size: 1,578

➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

HDZ-EPP: 31% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 31% (+3)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12%
Most→ECR: 7%
DP~ECR: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 1-20 January 2025

Fieldwork: 1-20 February 2025
Sample size: 984

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

#Croatia: center-left Socijaldemokratska partija (SDP-S&D) has climbed to 30.5% in the latest Ipsos poll. This is the party’s highest polling result in at least 5 years.

If repeated in a national parliament election, this would be the party's best result since 2016.

SDP-led coalition received 25.4% in the 2024 national parliament election.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/croatia

#Spain, Celeste-Tel poll:

PP-EPP: 34%
PSOE-S&D: 28%
VOX-PfE: 14%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7% (+1)
Podemos-LEFT: 5%
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
CC-RE: 1%
UPN-*: 0%

+/- vs. 7-11 January 2025

Fieldwork: 12-17 February 2025
Sample size: 1,100

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

#Malta, MaltaToday poll:

PL-S&D: 48% (+3)
PN-EPP: 44% (-2)
Momentum-*: 4% (+4)
ADPD-G/EFA: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 5-13 November 2024

Fieldwork: 29 January-13 February 2025
Sample size: 672

➤ europeelects.eu/malta

#Malta: new centrist Momentum (*) appears in a poll for the first time, with 4% in the latest MaltaToday poll.

The party was launched last month and is led by former AD (Greens/EFA) leader and independent politician Arnold Cassola.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/malta

#Bulgaria, Gallup International poll:

GERB-SDS-EPP: 28% (+1)
V-ESN: 13% (-1)
DPS-NN-RE: 13% (-1)
PP-DB-RE|EPP: 12% (-2)
BSP-S&D: 9% (+1)
APS-RE: 6% (-1)
ITN-ECR: 5%
MECh-*: 5%
Velichie-*: 4%

+/- vs. 8-12 January 2025

Fieldwork: 13-20 February 2025
Sample size: 841

➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria

#Germany, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:

Hamburg regional parliament election

SPD (S&D): 33% (+1)
CDU (EPP): 18%
GRÜNE (Greens/EFA): 17% (-2)
LINKE (LEFT): 12% (+3)
AfD (ESN): 9%
Volt (Greens/EFA): 3%

+/- vs. 10-13 February 2024

Fieldwork: 26-27 February 2025
Sample size: 1,046

➤ europeelects.eu/germany