#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 28% (+2)
RE-RE: 18%
EKRE-PfE: 16% (-2)
KE-RE|ECR: 14% (-1)
SDE-S&D: 12% (+1)
PP→EPP: 4% (+1)
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
E200→EPP: 2% (-2)
KOOS-*: 1%
ERK-*: 1%

+/- vs. 16-22 December 2024

Fieldwork: 30 December 2024-5 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Estonia: the liberal E200 (→EPP) reaches a five-year record low with 2.1% in the latest Norstat poll—the lowest polling result obtained by the party since January 2019, three months after its founding.

If repeated in the next national parliament election, this would be the party’s worst result ever.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Spain, SocioMétrica poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 14%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
SALF-NI: 3%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 22-24 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-30 December 2024
Sample size: 2,953

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Germany, YouGov poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 29% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 21% (+2)
SPD-S&D: 16% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
BSW-NI: 6% (-1)
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 29 November-3 December 2024

Fieldwork: 3-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,908

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Spain, Hamalgama Métrica poll:

PP-EPP: 35%
PSOE-S&D: 28% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 14% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+1)
Junts-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-NI: 2% (-1)
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 5-8 November 2024

Fieldwork: 31 December 2024-3 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Spain, 40dB poll:

PP-EPP: 33%
PSOE-S&D: 30%
VOX-PfE: 14% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 5%
Podemos-LEFT: 4% (+1)
SALF-NI: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 22 November-3 December 2024

Fieldwork: 20-26 December 2024
Sample size: 2,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

Türkiye, Themis poll:

AKP~NI: 32% (+3)
CHP-S&D: 27% (-4)
DEM-S&D: 12%
MHP~NI: 8%
ZP-*: 7% (-1)
İYİ~RE: 5% (+2)
YRP-*: 4%
TİP-*: 3% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 29 October-4 November

Fieldwork: 22-27 December 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Germany, Ipsos poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (-2)
AfD-ESN: 19% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13%
BSW-NI: 7%
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 29 November-1 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-4 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Infratest dimap poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (-2)
AfD-ESN: 20% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14%
BSW-NI: 5%
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 16-18 December 2024

Fieldwork: 6-8 January 2025
Sample size: 1,323

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

Presidential run-off election

Milanović (*-S&D): 69% (+8)
Primorac (*-EPP): 31% (-8)

+/- vs. 19-23 December 2024

Fieldwork: 3-7 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

Türkiye, Toplum Çalışmaları Enstitüsü poll:

CHP-S&D: 31% (+4)
AKP~NI: 31% (-1)
MHP~NI: 11% (+3)
DEM-S&D: 8% (-1)
ZP-*: 4% (-4)
İYİ~RE: 4% (-2)
YRP-*: 3%
AP-*: 2% (new)
TİP-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 24 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-28 December 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Toplum Çalışmaları Enstitüsü poll:

Presidential election (scenario: H. Fidan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidates)

Fidan (AKP~NI): 39% (-11)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 31%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 29%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 27-28 December 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Toplum Çalışmaları Enstitüsü poll:

Presidential election (scenario: S. Bayraktar (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidates)

Bayraktar (AKP~NI): 37% (-13)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 32%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 30%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 27-28 December 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Toplum Çalışmaları Enstitüsü poll:

Presidential election (scenario: R. Tayyip Erdoğan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidates)

R. T. Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 37% (-13)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 33%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 30%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 27-28 December 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Toplum Çalışmaları Enstitüsü poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Bilal Erdoğan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidates)

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 44%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 37%
B. Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 19% (-31)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 27-28 December 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Austria, Market poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 39% (+3)
SPÖ-S&D: 19%
ÖVP-EPP: 17% (-3)
NEOS-RE: 10%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10% (+2)
KPÖ-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 16-17 December 2024

Fieldwork: 07-08 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/austria

#Germany, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 21% (+2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 15% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 14% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 17-19 December 2024

Fieldwork: 7-9 January 2025
Sample size: 1,433

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Austria: following the resignation of Chancellor Karl Nehammer (ÖVP-EPP), Foreign Minister, Alexander Schallenberg (ÖVP-EPP), has been appointed as the new Chancellor of Austria. Schallenberg will lead the caretaker government, in addition to his own portfolio, until a new government is sworn in.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/austria

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 32%
SDP-S&D: 28%
Možemo!-G/EFA: 11%
Most→ECR: 8%
DP-ECR: 3% (-1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 4% (+2)
Centar-RE: 2% (+1)
…

+/- vs. 16-17 December 2024

Fieldwork: 8-9 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Promocija plus poll:

Presidential run-off election

Milanović (*-S&D): 69% (+7)
Primorac (*-EPP): 31% (-8)

+/- vs. 16-17 December 2024

Fieldwork: 8-9 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

Presidential run-off election

Milanović (*-S&D): 72% (+6)
Primorac (*-EPP): 29% (-5)

+/- vs. 26 December 2024

Fieldwork: 9 January 2025
Sample size: 600

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/