#Spain, SigmaDos poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27%
VOX-PfE: 12%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 5%
SALF-NI: 3%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 25 November-4 December 2024

Fieldwork: 19-26 December 2024
Sample size: 2,485

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ESN: 21.5% (+1.5)
SPD-S&D: 15.5% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13.5% (+0.5)
BSW-NI: 6.5% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 30 December 2024-3 January 2025

Fieldwork: 3-6 January 2025
Sample size: 2,001

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

Türkiye, Kontak poll:

CHP-S&D: 36% (+11)
AKP~NI: 31% (-5)
MHP~NI: 8% (-2)
İYİ~RE: 6% (-4)
DEM-S&D: 6% (-3)
ZP-*: 5% (+3)
AP-*: 2% (new)
YRP-*: 1% (-2)
TİP-*: 1% (-1)
MP-*: 1%
SP~NI: 1% (n.a.)
BBP-*: 1%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 2-7 December 2024
Sample size: 2,325

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, ASAL poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with Erdoğan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidate)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 52% (+2)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 48% (+3)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 56% (+6)
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 44% (-1)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 66% (+16)
Özel (CHP-S&D): 34% (-11)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 9-12 December 2024
Sample size: 1,860

➤ http://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Spectrum House poll:

CHP-S&D: 32% (-2)
AKP~NI: 31% (+4)
DEM-S&D: 11%
MHP~NI: 7% (-3)
İYİ~RE: 5%
ZP-*: 4% (-2)
YRP-*: 4% (-1)
AP-*: 2% (new)
TİP-*: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-9 October 2024

Fieldwork: 25 November-3 December 2024
Sample size: 2,028

➤ http://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:

LSDP-S&D: 18% (-2)
NA-*: 18% (+3)
TS LKD-EPP: 17% (-1)
LS-RE: 12% (+4)
DSVL-G/EFA: 11% (+2)
LVŽS-ECR: 9% (+2)
LP-RE: 3% (-2)

+/- 2024 election

Fieldwork: 13-20 December 2024
Sample size: 1,016

➤ https://europeelects.eu/lithuania

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 19%
SPD-S&D: 17% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)
FDP-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 17-20 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,501

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 23% (+1)
M5S-LEFT: 11% (-1)
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9% (+1)
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 11-16 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Norway, InFact poll:

FrP~ECR: 24% (-2)
H-EPP: 21% (+2)
Ap-S&D: 21% (+3)
SV~LEFT: 8% (-2)
Sp~RE: 7%
R~LEFT: 6% (+1)
V-RE: 5%
KrF-EPP: 3% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 3 December 2024

Fieldwork: 6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,140

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 28% (+2)
RE-RE: 18%
EKRE-PfE: 16% (-2)
KE-RE|ECR: 14% (-1)
SDE-S&D: 12% (+1)
PP→EPP: 4% (+1)
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
E200→EPP: 2% (-2)
KOOS-*: 1%
ERK-*: 1%

+/- vs. 16-22 December 2024

Fieldwork: 30 December 2024-5 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Estonia: the liberal E200 (→EPP) reaches a five-year record low with 2.1% in the latest Norstat poll—the lowest polling result obtained by the party since January 2019, three months after its founding.

If repeated in the next national parliament election, this would be the party’s worst result ever.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Spain, SocioMétrica poll:

PP-EPP: 34% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 14%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
SALF-NI: 3%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 22-24 November 2024

Fieldwork: 26-30 December 2024
Sample size: 2,953

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Germany, YouGov poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 29% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 21% (+2)
SPD-S&D: 16% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
BSW-NI: 6% (-1)
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 29 November-3 December 2024

Fieldwork: 3-6 January 2025
Sample size: 1,908

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Spain, Hamalgama Métrica poll:

PP-EPP: 35%
PSOE-S&D: 28% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 14% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 5% (+1)
Junts-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-NI: 2% (-1)
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 5-8 November 2024

Fieldwork: 31 December 2024-3 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Spain, 40dB poll:

PP-EPP: 33%
PSOE-S&D: 30%
VOX-PfE: 14% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 5%
Podemos-LEFT: 4% (+1)
SALF-NI: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 22 November-3 December 2024

Fieldwork: 20-26 December 2024
Sample size: 2,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

Türkiye, Themis poll:

AKP~NI: 32% (+3)
CHP-S&D: 27% (-4)
DEM-S&D: 12%
MHP~NI: 8%
ZP-*: 7% (-1)
İYİ~RE: 5% (+2)
YRP-*: 4%
TİP-*: 3% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 29 October-4 November

Fieldwork: 22-27 December 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Germany, Ipsos poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (-2)
AfD-ESN: 19% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13%
BSW-NI: 7%
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 29 November-1 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-4 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Infratest dimap poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (-2)
AfD-ESN: 20% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14%
BSW-NI: 5%
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 16-18 December 2024

Fieldwork: 6-8 January 2025
Sample size: 1,323

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

Presidential run-off election

Milanović (*-S&D): 69% (+8)
Primorac (*-EPP): 31% (-8)

+/- vs. 19-23 December 2024

Fieldwork: 3-7 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

Türkiye, Toplum Çalışmaları Enstitüsü poll:

CHP-S&D: 31% (+4)
AKP~NI: 31% (-1)
MHP~NI: 11% (+3)
DEM-S&D: 8% (-1)
ZP-*: 4% (-4)
İYİ~RE: 4% (-2)
YRP-*: 3%
AP-*: 2% (new)
TİP-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 24 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-28 December 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Toplum Çalışmaları Enstitüsü poll:

Presidential election (scenario: H. Fidan (AKP~NI) vs. CHP (S&D) candidates)

Fidan (AKP~NI): 39% (-11)
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 31%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 29%

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 27-28 December 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey