#Sark (UK Crown Dependency), parliament election today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~400
➤ Polls open: 9:00AM - 7.00PM CEST (8.00AM - 6.00PM local time)
➤ 9/18 members of parliament up for election
➤ Electoral system: plurality block voting
➤ Voting age: 16

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31% (-1)
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 17% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
BSW-NI: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 26 November-2 December 2024

Fieldwork: 3-9 December 2024
Sample size: 2,501

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 32% (-1)
SDP-S&D: 27%
Možemo!-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
Most→ECR: 8%
DP-ECR: 3% (-1)
Centar-RE: 2%
DOMiNO-ECR: 2%
...

+/- vs. 4-7 November 2024

Fieldwork: 2-5 December 2024
Sample size: 1,300

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Switzerland: Karin Keller-Sutter (FDP-RE) is elected by parliament to serve as president in the year 2025.

Keller-Sutter received 168 votes of the 232 MPs who cast their ballot.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Switzerland: Guy Parmelin (UDC~RE|ESN|ECR) is elected by parliament to serve as vice-president in the year 2025.

Guy Parmelin received 196 votes of the 235 MPs who cast their ballot.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/switzerland

#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 22%
M5S-LEFT: 12%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
FI-EPP: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3%
IV-RE: 2% (-1)
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 27 November - 2 December 2024

Fieldwork: 4-9 December 2024
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 28% (+1)
RE-RE: 21%
KE-RE|ECR: 14% (+2)
EKRE-PfE: 13% (-1)
SDE-S&D: 13% (-1)
PP→EPP: 6% (+2)
E200→EPP: 3%
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
KOOS-*: 1%
ERK~ECR: 0% (-1)

+/- vs. 25 November-2 December 2024

Fieldwork: 2-8 December 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Spain, 40dB poll:

PP-EPP: 33% (-2)
PSOE-S&D: 30%
VOX-PfE: 13% (+2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 5% (-1)
SALF-NI: 3% (-2)
Podemos-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 25-27 September 2024

Fieldwork: 22 November-3 December 2024
Sample size: 2,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Slovakia, NMS poll:

PS-RE: 25%
Smer-NI: 19%
Hlas-NI: 11%
Republika-ESN: 10% (+1)
S-EPP: 7% (+2)
KDH-EPP: 6% (-1)
SaS-ECR: 5% (-1)
D-EPP: 4% (-1)
SR~PfE: 3% (-1)
MA-EPP: 3% (-1)
SNS~PfE: 3%
ZĽ~EPP: 3% (+2)
ĽSNS-NI: 1%

+/- vs. 7-11 November 2024

Fieldwork: 4-9 December 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

#Spain, GESOP poll:

PP-EPP: 31% (-2)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 15% (+2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8% (-3)
Podemos-LEFT: 4% (+1)
SALF-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%

+/- vs. 23-26 September 2024

Fieldwork: 2-4 December 2024
Sample size: 1,001

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Hungary, IDEA poll:

TISZA-EPP: 43% (+2)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 37% (-1)
MH-ESN: 6% (-1)
DK-S&D: 5% (-1)
MKKP→G/EFA: 3%
NP-*: 2%
Momentum-RE: 1%
2RK-*: 1%
MMN→EPP: 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 31 October – 8 November 2024

Fieldwork: 29 November - 6 December 2024
Sample size: 1,500

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

CHP-S&D: 30% (-1)
AKP~NI: 29%
DEM-S&D: 9%
MHP~NI: 7% (+1)
İYİ~RE: 6% (-1)
ZP-*: 6%
YRP-*: 4% (-1)
AP-*: 3% (new)
TİP-*: 2%

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: Yavaş (CHP-S&D) runs as independent)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 35% (+1)
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 27% (-1)
Yavaş (*): 24% (-1)
DEM candidate (S&D): 5% (n.a.)
Dervişoğlu (İYİ~RE): 2% (n.a.)
Özdağ (ZP-*): 2% (n.a.)
Erbakan (YRP-*): 1% (n.a.)
Ağıralioğlu (AP-*): 1% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D) vs. AKP (~NI) candidate)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 55% (+1)
Bayraktar (AKP~NI): 45% (-1)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 56% (+1)
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 44% (-1)

İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 57%
Fidan (AKP~NI): 43%

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round polls with Yavaş (CHP-S&D) vs. AKP (~NI) candidate)

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 60%
Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 40%

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 61%
Bayraktar (AKP~NI): 39%

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 61% (+1)
Fidan (AKP~NI): 39% (-1)

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Ank-Ar poll:

Presidential election (scenario: first round between Yavaş (CHP-S&D) and İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D))

Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 51%
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 49%

+/- vs. 27-29 October 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 November 2024
Sample size: 2,004

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Slovenia, Mediana poll:

SDS-EPP: 30%
GS-RE: 21% (-1)
SD-S&D: 10% (-1)
NSi-EPP: 7% (+1)
Vesna-G/EFA: 7% (+2)
L-LEFT: 6% (-1)
Resnica→NI: 6% (+2)
PSS-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
SNS→PfE: 3% (+1)
SLS-EPP: 2% (-1)
NP-*: 2% (n.a.)
ND-*: 0% (-1)
K~RE: 0%

+/- vs. 2-5 December 2024

Fieldwork: 18-21 November 2024
Sample size: 724

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovenia

#Sark (UK Crown Dependency), parliament election today:

Final results (seat count)

New members-*: 6 (new)
Incumbent members-*: 3 (-2)

#UnitedKingdom

#France: President Emmanuel Macron (RE-RE) has appointed François Bayrou (MoDem-RE) as Prime Minister and asked him to form a government.

Bayrou is the current High Commissioner of Planning, mayor of Pau, and president of the Mouvement démocrate (RE), which has been part of the presidential coalition since 2017. He also was a brief Minister of Justice in Édouard Philippe’s (HOR-RE) government, and a Minister of National Education under Prime Ministers Édouard Balladur (RPR-EDA) and Alain Juppé (RPR-EDA).

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

The European Union has certain hopes when it comes to Bosnia and Herzegovina—and frankly, so do we. 🇧🇦🇪🇺🎄

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New pollster assessments from Europe Elects!

The latest release of Europe Elects: Truth in Polling covers pollsters operating in:

Kosovo 🇽🇰
Moldova 🇲🇩
Montenegro 🇲🇪
Netherlands 🇳🇱
North Macedonia 🇲🇰
Norway 🇳🇴

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➡️ https://europeelects.eu/europe-elects-truth-in-polling/