#Moldova, Presidential election (second round):

95.0% counted

Sandu (*-EPP): 54% (-4)
Stoianoglo (PSRM~LEFT): 46% (+4)

+/- vs. 2020 election

➤ http://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Iceland, Prósent poll:

S-S&D: 23% (-1)
C-RE: 19% (+4)
M~EPP|RE: 15% (-1)
D-EPP: 14% (+1)
F~RE: 11%
B~RE: 6%
P-G/EFA: 5% (-1)
J-*: 4%
V~LEFT|RE: 3% (+1)
L-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 18 - 24 October 2024

Fieldwork: 25-31 October 2024
Sample size: 2,400

➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland/

#Iceland: The centre to centre-right Liberal Reform Party (C-RE) rises to 18.7% in the latest Prósent poll. This is the highest poll result for C ever.

If repeated in a national parliament election, it would be the best result for C in its history.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland

#Iceland, Gallup poll:

S-S&D: 24% (-2)
D-EPP: 17% (+3)
M~EPP|RE: 17% (-2)
C-RE: 14% (+4)
P-G/EFA: 5% (-3)
F~RE: 8%
B~RE: 7% (+1)
J-*: 5%
V~LEFT|RE: 4%
L-*: 1% (new)

+/- vs. 30 August - 30 September 2024

Fieldwork: 1 - 31 October 2024
Sample size: 5,759

➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland/

#Moldova, Presidential election (second round):

99.0% counted

Sandu (*-EPP): 55% (-3)
Stoianoglo (PSRM~LEFT): 45% (+3)

+/- vs. 2020 election

➤ http://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Poland, United Surveys poll:

Presidential run-off election (different scenarios)

Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 60%
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 40%

Sikorski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 59%
Nawrocki (PiS-ECR): 41%

Trzaskowski (KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA): 64%
Hołownia (TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP): 36%

Fieldwork: 25-27 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 20% (-1)
F-G/EFA: 17% (+2)
I-EPP: 13%
V-RE: 11% (-1)
Æ-ECR: 11% (-2)
Ø-LEFT: 6% (-1)
C-EPP: 5% (-1)
O-PfE: 5% (+1)
B-RE: 4% (-1)
M-RE: 3%
Å→G/EFA: 3% (+1)

+/- vs. 21-27 October 2024

Fieldwork: 28 October-3 November 2024
Sample size: 1,249

➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark

How would Europeans vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election if they had a chance?

Pollsters across the continent asked, Europe Elects aggregated:

Harris (~S&D|RE) vs. Trump (ECR) (only those revealing voting intention):

🇩🇰96–4
🇫🇮90–8
🇸🇪90–10
🇳🇱87–13
🇳🇴86–12
🇩🇪85–15
🇮🇪84–16
🇫🇷83–17
🇱🇹83–17
🇦🇹82–18
🇪🇸80–20
🇵🇹79–21
🇧🇪78–22
🇮🇹75–25
🇪🇪74–26
🇨🇭72–20
🇱🇻69–31
🇵🇱69–31
🇬🇧68–32
🇽🇰67–33
🇷🇴62–38
🇬🇷61–39
🇭🇷60–40
🇨🇿54–46
🇸🇮49–51
🇸🇰48–52
🇲🇩44–56
🇧🇬42–58
🇭🇺38–62
🇬🇪34–66
🇷🇸33–67
🇷🇺22–78

Fieldwork: October
Sample size: see details

Details, methodology and raw polls considered in the analysis:

Details, methodology and raw polls considered in the analysis: https://europeelects.eu/2024/11/04/u-s-election-europeans-would-vote-for-harris-if-they-could/

#Romania, Sociopol poll:

Presidential election

Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 28% (+2)
Simion (AUR-ECR): 21% (+1)
Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 16% (-1)
Lasconi (USR-RE): 12% (-1)
Geoană (*): 9% (-1)
Diaconescu (*): 8% (-1)
Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 2%
Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 4% (+3)

+/- vs. 14-18 October 2024

Fieldwork: 28 October - 01 November 2024
Sample size: 1,002

➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania

#Hungary, Republikon poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 37% (-4)
TISZA-EPP: 36% (+5)
DK-S&D: 8% (+1)
MH-ESN: 7% (+2)
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (-2)
Momentum-RE: 4%
MSZP-S&D: 3%

+/- vs. 3-8 July 2024

Fieldwork: October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

#Hungary, Real-PR 93 poll:

Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 44% (-3)
TISZA-EPP: 35% (new)
MH-ESN: 7% (-1)
DK-S&D: 6% (-6)
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (-7)

+/- vs. 18-21 December 2023

Fieldwork: 28-30 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

#Moldova, Presidential election (second round):

100% counted

Sandu re-elected as President.

Sandu (*-EPP): 55% (-3)
Stoianoglo (PSRM~LEFT): 45% (+3)

+/- vs. 2020 election

Turnout: 54.34%

➤ http://europeelects.eu/moldova

#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29% (-1)
PD-S&D: 22% (-1)
M5S-LEFT: 12%
FI-EPP: 9%
LEGA-PfE: 9%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
A-RE: 3% (+1)
IV-RE: 2%
+E-RE: 2%
ScN-*: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%
PTD-LEFT: 1%

+/- vs. 23-28 October 2024

Fieldwork: 28 October - 4 November 2024
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 33% (n.a.)
SDP-S&D: 27% (n.a)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 11% (+2)
Most→ECR: 7% (n.a)
DP-ECR: 4% (n.a)
DOMiNO-ECR: 3% (new)
Centar-RE: 2% (n.a.)
…

+/- vs. 2024 election

Fieldwork: 15-17 October 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

HDZ-EPP: 36% (+1)
SDP-S&D: 26% (+2)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 11% (-1)
Most→ECR: 9% (+1)
DP-ECR: 4% (-2)

+/- vs. 1-20 September 2024

Fieldwork: 1-22 October 2024
Sample size: 980

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

How would Europeans vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election if they had a chance?

Pollsters across the continent asked, Europe Elects aggregated:

Harris (~S&D|RE) vs. Trump (ECR) (only those revealing voting intention):

🇩🇰96–4
🇫🇮90–8
🇸🇪90–10
🇳🇱87–13
🇳🇴86–12
🇩🇪85–15
🇮🇪84–16
🇫🇷83–17
🇱🇹83–17
🇦🇹82–18
🇪🇸80–20
🇵🇹79–21
🇧🇪78–22
🇮🇹75–25
🇪🇪74–26
🇨🇭72–20
🇱🇻69–31
🇵🇱69–31
🇬🇧68–32
🇽🇰67–33
🇷🇴62–38
🇬🇷61–39
🇭🇷60–40
🇨🇿54–46
🇸🇮49–51
🇸🇰48–52
🇲🇩44–56
🇧🇬42–58
🇭🇺38–62
🇬🇪34–66
🇷🇸33–67
🇷🇺22–78

Fieldwork: October
Sample size: see details

Details, methodology and raw polls considered in the analysis:

#Hungary, Medián poll:

TISZA-EPP: 46% (+7)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 39% (-4)
MH-ESN: 6% (+2)
MKKP→G/EFA: 3%
DK-S&D: 3%
Momentum-RE: 1% (-1)
MSZP-S&D: 1% (n.a.)
Jobbik-NI: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 3-10 September 2024

Fieldwork: 28 October - 4 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary

#Ireland: Prime Minister Simon Harris (FG-EPP) has announced that a national parliamentary election will take place on the 29th of November, 2024.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland/

#Ireland, Ireland Thinks poll:

FG-EPP: 26%
FF-RE: 20% (+1)
SF-LEFT: 18% (-1)
SD→S&D: 6%
LAB-S&D: 4% (-1)
GP-G/EFA: 4%
AON-*: 3% (-1)
PBP/S~LEFT: 2%

+/- vs. 4-5 October 2024

Fieldwork: 31 October - 1 November 2024
Sample size: 1,832

➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32%
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 15.5% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10.5% (+0.5)
BSW-NI: 8%
FDP-RE: 4.5% (+0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 3.5% (-0.5)

+/- vs. 28 October-1 November 2024

Fieldwork: 1-4 November 2024
Sample size: 2,005

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany