#France, Harris x Toluna poll:

European Parliament election

RN-ID: 32%
Bd'E-RE: 14%
Rl'E-S&D: 13%
LFI-LEFT: 9%
LR-EPP: 7.5%
LÉ-G/EFA: 6%
REC-ECR: 5%
PCF-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 3-4 June 2024

Fieldwork: 4-5 June 2024
Sample size: 2,502

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

#France, Ifop poll:

European Parliament election

RN-ID: 33% (-0.5)
Bd'E-RE: 15% (-0.5)
Rl'E-S&D: 13.5% (-0.5)
LFI-LEFT: 8% (+1)
LR-EPP: 7.5% (+0.5)
REC-ECR: 6% (-0.5)
LÉ-G/EFA: 5% (-1.5)
PCF-LEFT: 2.5% (-0.5)
PA-LEFT: 2.5% (+0.5)
LO-*: 1% (+0.5)
LP/V-ECR: 1% (+0.5)
AR-*: 1%
UPR-*: 0.5%
EAC~G/EFA: 0.5%
NPA-LEFT: 0.5%
ETÉ-G/EFA: 0.5% (+0.5)
EPT~RE: 0.5% (+0.5)
ND-S&D: 0.5% (+0.5)
FPP-*: 0%

+/- vs. 28-31 May 2024

Fieldwork: 1-5 June 2024
Sample size: 2,724

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

EU27, Europe Elects seat projection for @EURACTIV_EU:

Centre-right EPP: 182
Centre-left S&D: 136
Liberal Renew: 81
National-conservative ECR: 79
Right-wing ID: 69
Greens/EFA: 55
Left: 38
Non-Inscrits (incl. unaffiliated): 80

All data: https://euractiv.com/european-elections-2024/

#Netherlands, Peil poll:

European Parliament Election, seat projection

PVV-ID: 8
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 8
VVD-RE: 4 (-1)
CDA-EPP: 2
D66-RE: 2
Volt-G/EFA: 2 (+1)
FvD-NI: 1
PvdD-LEFT: 1
BBB→EPP: 1
NSC→EPP: 1
SGP-ECR: 1 (+1)
SP~LEFT: 0 (-1)
…

+/- vs. 17 May 2024

Fieldwork: 5 June 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

Starting tomorrow, Europe Elects will project the final result of the European Parliament election 2024 on its website live.

Seats + popular vote
EU level + national level
Groups + europarties + parties
Current + future European Parliament group affiliation
Turnout

➤ https://europeelects.eu/european-union

It is the first day of the European Parliament election 2024.

The second-largest electoral event in the world is about to formally commence, with polls first opening in the Netherlands at 7.30 a.m. CEST today.

The last polls will close in Italy Sunday at 11 p.m.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/european-union

#Netherlands, European Parliament election today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~13.3 million
➤ Polls open: 7:30 AM- 9:00 PM CEST (Dutch Caribbean municipalities: 7:30 AM- 9:00 PM AST)
➤ 20 lists are running for the 31 European Parliament seats
➤ Voting age: 18 years or older
➤ Most seats in 2019: liberal Renew Europe (after Brexit)

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024

#Norway, Verian poll:

H-EPP: 26% (+1)
Ap-S&D: 19% (-3)
FrP~ECR: 16% (-1)
SV~LEFT: 12% (+1)
R~LEFT: 9% (+4)
Sp~RE: 5%
V-RE: 5% (-2)
KrF-EPP: 4%
MDG-G/EFA: 3%
INP-*: 1% (-2)

+/- vs. 29 April-6 May 2024

Fieldwork: 27-31 May 2024
Sample size: 998

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Norway, Norstat poll:

H-EPP: 23% (-2)
Ap-S&D: 20% (+2)
FrP~ECR: 17% (+1)
SV~LEFT: 10% (-1)
Sp~RE: 7%
V-RE: 6% (+2)
KrF-EPP: 4% (+1)
R~LEFT: 4% (-2)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 19-24 February 2024

Fieldwork: 21-25 May 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Estonia, Kantar Emor poll:

I-EPP: 23% (+1)
RE-RE: 20% (+2)
EKRE-ID: 18% (+1)
SDE-S&D: 16% (-2)
KE-RE: 12% (-1)
E200→EPP: 5%
PP→EPP: 4% (-1)
EER-G/EFA: 2%
EÜVP-LEFT: 1%

+/- vs. 6-15 May 2024

Fieldwork: 27 May-2 June 2024
Sample size: 1,489

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Malta, MaltaToday poll:

European Parliament election

PL-S&D: 51%
PN-EPP: 41% (-1)

+/- vs. 13-21 May 2024

Fieldwork: 22 May-4 June 2024
Sample size: 1,007

➤ https://europeelects.eu/malta

#Malta, Esprimi poll:

European Parliament election

PL-S&D: 51%
PN-EPP: 40%

+/- vs. 1-13 April 2024

Fieldwork: 22-30 May 2024
Sample size: 650

➤ https://europeelects.eu/malta

UK: if Brexit had not happened, voters would be heading to the polls this week for the EU Parliament election.

However, due to the UK's departure from the EU, voters remain without elected representation in Brussels for the first time since the first direct election in 1979.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
#UnitedKingdom

#Malta, Sagalytics poll:

European Parliament election

PL-S&D: 51%
PN-EPP: 40%
IE-*: 4% (-1)

+/- vs. 20-24 May 2024

Fieldwork: 30 May-4 June 2024
Sample size: 1,800

➤ https://europeelects.eu/malta

#Sweden, European Parliament election:

Early voting turnout four days ahead of the election (since 22 May 2024)

2004: 6%
2009: 8%
2014: 12%
2019: 14%
2024: 16%

Source: Swedish Electoral Authority
#euval #euval2024

European Parliament election today:

Which new group may we see in the next EU Parliament? Who will win this election? And what is impossible to predict?

We sat down with our partners at @EURACTIV_EU and recorded a podcast that provides the context to our projection figures.

➤ eurac.tv/9X2r

#Greece (European Parliament Election), GPO poll:

ND-EPP: 33%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 16%
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 13%
EL-ECR: 8% (-1)
KKE-NI: 8% (-1)
Niki→NI: 4%
PE-*: 4% (+1)
NA-LEFT: 3%
D→RE: 3%
FL-*: 2%
MeRA25~LEFT: 2%

+/- vs. 13-22 May 2024

Fieldwork: 27-29 May 2024
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece

#Greece (European Parliament Election), Prorata poll:

ND-EPP: 33% (+4)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 13%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 12% (-3)
KKE-NI:11% (+2)
EL-ECR: 9% (-1)
Niki→NI: 5% (+2)
NA-LEFT: 5% (+1)
PE-*: 4% (-1)
FL-*: 2%
K-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
MeRA25~LEFT: 2%

+/- vs. 05-10 April 2024

Fieldwork: 22-28 May 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece

#Greece: green Kosmos (K-G/EFA) reaches a record high —with 2.3% in the latest Prorata poll. This is below the electoral threshold of 3% needed to achieve representation in the European Parliament.

The party was established in 2024 by MEP Petros Kokkalis.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece

#Greece (European Parliament Election), Opinion Poll poll:

ND-EPP: 33%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 16% (+1)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 12%
EL-ECR: 9% (-1)
KKE-NI: 8%
PE-*: 4%
Niki→NI: 3%
NA-LEFT: 3%
MeRA25~LEFT: 3% (+1)
FL-*: 3%
D→RE: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 15-16 May 2024

Fieldwork: 29 May - 01 June 2024
Sample size: 1,201

➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece

#Greece (European Parliament Election), Marc poll:

ND-EPP: 35%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 17%
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 12% (+1)
EL-ECR: 8%
KKE-NI: 7% (-1)
PE-*: 4%
Niki→NI: 4%
MeRA25~LEFT: 3%
FL-*: 3%
NA-LEFT: 3% (+1)
D→RE: 2%

+/- vs. 27-30 May 2024

Fieldwork: 29-31 May 2024
Sample size: 1,003

➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece