Europe Elects Official
Türkiye, local elections: the Central Electoral Commission (YSK) overturned the election result in Van due to the justice ministry objecting the right of Abdullah Zeydan (DEM-G/EFA) to run. The ministry’s objection was raised two days before the election.…
Türkiye, local elections: the Central Electoral Commission (YSK) canceled the decision of the Van Province Electoral Commission regarding the overturn of the Van metropolitan election results.
Abdullah Zeydan (DEM-G/EFA) is declared as the winner.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey
Abdullah Zeydan (DEM-G/EFA) is declared as the winner.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey
Europe Elects
Türkiye - Europe Elects
National Parliament Composition National Poll Average national polls collected in Türkiye. You can access the complete database of polls at https://europeelects.eu/data/ Government Head of State (President)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan…
#Ireland, Ireland Thinks poll:
SF-LEFT: 27%
FG-EPP: 22% (+2)
FF-RE: 17% (-1)
SD→S&D: 6% (-1)
GP-G/EFA: 4%
LAB-S&D: 4%
AON-*: 4% (+2)
PBP/S~LEFT: 2%
+/- vs. 2 March 2024
Fieldwork: 23 March 2024
Sample size: 1,304
➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland
SF-LEFT: 27%
FG-EPP: 22% (+2)
FF-RE: 17% (-1)
SD→S&D: 6% (-1)
GP-G/EFA: 4%
LAB-S&D: 4%
AON-*: 4% (+2)
PBP/S~LEFT: 2%
+/- vs. 2 March 2024
Fieldwork: 23 March 2024
Sample size: 1,304
➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland
#Ireland, Red C poll:
SF-LEFT: 25% (-3)
FG-EPP: 19% (-1)
FF-RE: 16%
SD→S&D: 6% (-1)
AON-*: 5% (+2)
GP-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
LAB-S&D: 3% (-1)
PBP/S~LEFT: 3%
+/- vs. 21 February 2024
Fieldwork: 20 March 2024
Sample size: 1,027
➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland
SF-LEFT: 25% (-3)
FG-EPP: 19% (-1)
FF-RE: 16%
SD→S&D: 6% (-1)
AON-*: 5% (+2)
GP-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
LAB-S&D: 3% (-1)
PBP/S~LEFT: 3%
+/- vs. 21 February 2024
Fieldwork: 20 March 2024
Sample size: 1,027
➤ https://europeelects.eu/ireland
#Italy (#Basilicata), BiDiMedia poll:
Presidential election
Bardi (FI-EPP): 53% (+11)
Marrese (PD-S&D): 46% (+13)
Follia (Volt-G/EFA): 1% (new)
+/- vs. 2019 election
Fieldwork: 27-28 March 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
#Basilicata2024 #Regionali2024
Presidential election
Bardi (FI-EPP): 53% (+11)
Marrese (PD-S&D): 46% (+13)
Follia (Volt-G/EFA): 1% (new)
+/- vs. 2019 election
Fieldwork: 27-28 March 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
#Basilicata2024 #Regionali2024
UK (GB), YouGov poll:
MRP seat projection
LAB-S&D: 403 (+18)
CON~ECR: 155 (-14)
LDEM-RE: 49 (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 19 (-6)
PC-G/EFA: 4 (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 1
REFORM~NI: 0
+/- vs. 12 December 2023 - 4 January 2024
Fieldwork: 7-27 March 2024
Sample size: 18,761
➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom
MRP seat projection
LAB-S&D: 403 (+18)
CON~ECR: 155 (-14)
LDEM-RE: 49 (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 19 (-6)
PC-G/EFA: 4 (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 1
REFORM~NI: 0
+/- vs. 12 December 2023 - 4 January 2024
Fieldwork: 7-27 March 2024
Sample size: 18,761
➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom
#Italy, Euromedia poll:
European Parliament Election
Scenario: SUE, Az+ and Libertà lists run
FdI-ECR: 28%
PD-S&D: 19% (-1)
M5S-NI: 18% (+1)
LEGA-ID: 9%
FI-EPP: 8%
SUE-RE|S&D|G/EFA: 5% (-1)
Az+-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 4%
Libertà-*: 2% (new)
PTD-LEFT|G/EFA: 2% (new)
NM-EPP: 1%
+/- vs. 11 March 2024
Fieldwork: 27-28 March 2024
Sample size: 800
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
European Parliament Election
Scenario: SUE, Az+ and Libertà lists run
FdI-ECR: 28%
PD-S&D: 19% (-1)
M5S-NI: 18% (+1)
LEGA-ID: 9%
FI-EPP: 8%
SUE-RE|S&D|G/EFA: 5% (-1)
Az+-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 4%
Libertà-*: 2% (new)
PTD-LEFT|G/EFA: 2% (new)
NM-EPP: 1%
+/- vs. 11 March 2024
Fieldwork: 27-28 March 2024
Sample size: 800
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
#Iceland, Maskína poll:
S-S&D: 26% (-1)
D-EPP: 18%
M~EPP|RE: 12% (+1)
P-G/EFA: 10% (+1)
C-RE: 10% (+1)
B~RE: 9%
F~RE: 6%
V~LEFT: 7% (+1)
J-*: 4%
+/- vs. 27 February 2024
Fieldwork: 6-12 March 2024
Sample size: 1,753
➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland/
S-S&D: 26% (-1)
D-EPP: 18%
M~EPP|RE: 12% (+1)
P-G/EFA: 10% (+1)
C-RE: 10% (+1)
B~RE: 9%
F~RE: 6%
V~LEFT: 7% (+1)
J-*: 4%
+/- vs. 27 February 2024
Fieldwork: 6-12 March 2024
Sample size: 1,753
➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland/
#Malta: former Speaker of the House of Representatives Myriam Spiteri Debono (PL-S&D) has been sworn in as the 11th President of Malta, after being appointed by both parties in Parliament.
This marks the end of the term for President George Vella (PL-S&D).
➤ https://europeelects.eu/malta/
This marks the end of the term for President George Vella (PL-S&D).
➤ https://europeelects.eu/malta/
Europe Elects
Malta - Europe Elects
National Parliament Composition National Poll Average This poll average is the result of a smoothing cubic spline fitted to our dataset of all national polls collected in Malta.…
#Romania, Sociopol poll:
European Parliament election
PSD/PNL-S&D|EPP: 47% (+5)
AUR→ECR: 24% (-4)
ADU-RE|EPP: 14% (-1)
PUSL-S&D: 5% (+4)
UDMR-EPP: 4% (-1)
S.O.S.RO→ID: 3%
PER~G/EFA: 2%
PRO-S&D: 1% (-1)
...
+/- vs. February 2024
Fieldwork: 26 March - 02 April 2024
Sample size: 1,002
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania/
European Parliament election
PSD/PNL-S&D|EPP: 47% (+5)
AUR→ECR: 24% (-4)
ADU-RE|EPP: 14% (-1)
PUSL-S&D: 5% (+4)
UDMR-EPP: 4% (-1)
S.O.S.RO→ID: 3%
PER~G/EFA: 2%
PRO-S&D: 1% (-1)
...
+/- vs. February 2024
Fieldwork: 26 March - 02 April 2024
Sample size: 1,002
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania/
#Iceland: over 50 individuals expressing interest in the presidency raised suspicion among statisticians.
However, it was recently revealed that at least 11 of these candidates inadvertently registered due to clicking the wrong link, rather than actively seeking candidacy.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland/
However, it was recently revealed that at least 11 of these candidates inadvertently registered due to clicking the wrong link, rather than actively seeking candidacy.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/iceland/
Europe Elects
Iceland - Europe Elects
National Parliament Composition National Poll Average Presidential Poll Average This poll average is the result of a smoothing cubic spline fitted to our dataset of all national polls…
63 days until the first day of the EU Parliament election.
Several votes in Europe are to take place in parallel to the EU election:
🇧🇪🇸🇲 National parliament
🇨🇭 National referenda
🇧🇪🇨🇾🇭🇺🇮🇹🇷🇴 Regional parliaments and/or presidents
🇨🇾🇭🇺🇮🇪🇲🇹🇷🇴 Local (listed if nationwide)
➤ https://europeelects.eu/calendar/
Several votes in Europe are to take place in parallel to the EU election:
🇧🇪🇸🇲 National parliament
🇨🇭 National referenda
🇧🇪🇨🇾🇭🇺🇮🇹🇷🇴 Regional parliaments and/or presidents
🇨🇾🇭🇺🇮🇪🇲🇹🇷🇴 Local (listed if nationwide)
➤ https://europeelects.eu/calendar/
Europe Elects
Europe Elects: Calendar - Europe Elects
The table below considers European Parliament elections, national parliament, and presidential elections in European states and territories, including national parliament by-elections. It includes all regional elections and some…
#Moldova, Magenta Consulting poll:
PAS-EPP: 37% (-4)
PSRM~LEFT: 23% (+7)
Ș.O.R.-*: 14% (-1)
MAN~S&D: 5% (+1)
PCRM-LEFT: 5% (+1)
PN-*: 4% (+1)
PDCM-*: 4%
PPDA-EPP: 1%
PDA-*: 1% (n.a.)
PLDM-EPP: 1% (n.a.)
CUB-RE: 1%
+/- vs. 11 July-1 August 2023
Fieldwork: 27 January-22 February 2024
Sample size: 1,247
➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova
PAS-EPP: 37% (-4)
PSRM~LEFT: 23% (+7)
Ș.O.R.-*: 14% (-1)
MAN~S&D: 5% (+1)
PCRM-LEFT: 5% (+1)
PN-*: 4% (+1)
PDCM-*: 4%
PPDA-EPP: 1%
PDA-*: 1% (n.a.)
PLDM-EPP: 1% (n.a.)
CUB-RE: 1%
+/- vs. 11 July-1 August 2023
Fieldwork: 27 January-22 February 2024
Sample size: 1,247
➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova
#Moldova, Magenta Consulting poll:
Presidential election
Sandu (*-EPP): 41% (+5)
Dodon (PSRM~LEFT): 33%
Ceban (MAN~S&D): 8% (+8)
Chicu (PDCM-*): 7% (+7)
Usatîi (PN-*): 6% (-11)
Vlah (*): 6% (+6)
Șor (*): 6% (+6)
Munteanu (CUB-RE): 1% (+1)
+/- vs. 2020 election result
Fieldwork: 27 January-22 February 2024
Sample size: 1,247
➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova
Presidential election
Sandu (*-EPP): 41% (+5)
Dodon (PSRM~LEFT): 33%
Ceban (MAN~S&D): 8% (+8)
Chicu (PDCM-*): 7% (+7)
Usatîi (PN-*): 6% (-11)
Vlah (*): 6% (+6)
Șor (*): 6% (+6)
Munteanu (CUB-RE): 1% (+1)
+/- vs. 2020 election result
Fieldwork: 27 January-22 February 2024
Sample size: 1,247
➤ https://europeelects.eu/moldova
#Germany, Infratest dimap poll:
Q: 'Does EU membership bring Germany rather advantages or disadvantages?'
Advantages and disadvantages: 36% (-5)
Advantages: 35% (+9)
Disadvantages: 23% (-4)
+/- vs. 30-31 May 2023
Fieldwork: 2-3 April 2024
Sample size: 1,304
➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany
Q: 'Does EU membership bring Germany rather advantages or disadvantages?'
Advantages and disadvantages: 36% (-5)
Advantages: 35% (+9)
Disadvantages: 23% (-4)
+/- vs. 30-31 May 2023
Fieldwork: 2-3 April 2024
Sample size: 1,304
➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany
Europe Elects Official
#Italy (#Basilicata), BiDiMedia poll: Presidential election Bardi (FI-EPP): 53% (+11) Marrese (PD-S&D): 46% (+13) Follia (Volt-G/EFA): 1% (new) +/- vs. 2019 election Fieldwork: 27-28 March 2024 Sample size: 1,000 ➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy #Basilicata2024…
#Italy (#Basilicata), BiDiMedia poll:
Parliamentary election
CDX-EPP|ECR|ID|RE: 54% (+13)
CSX-S&D|NI|G/EFA|LEFT|RE: 45% (-13)
Volt-G/EFA: 1% (new)
+/- vs. 2019 election
Fieldwork: 27-28 March 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
Parliamentary election
CDX-EPP|ECR|ID|RE: 54% (+13)
CSX-S&D|NI|G/EFA|LEFT|RE: 45% (-13)
Volt-G/EFA: 1% (new)
+/- vs. 2019 election
Fieldwork: 27-28 March 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
#Finland, Taloustutkimus poll:
SDP-S&D: 22% (+2)
Kok.-EPP: 21% (-1)
PS-ECR: 17% (-1)
Kesk.-RE: 12%
Vas.-LEFT: 10% (+1)
Vihr.-G/EFA: 8% (-1)
KD-EPP: 4% (+1)
SFP-RE: 3% (-1)
Liik.~NI: 2%
+/- vs. February 2024
Fieldwork: 11 March-2 April 2024
Sample size: 2,613
➤ https://europeelects.eu/finland
SDP-S&D: 22% (+2)
Kok.-EPP: 21% (-1)
PS-ECR: 17% (-1)
Kesk.-RE: 12%
Vas.-LEFT: 10% (+1)
Vihr.-G/EFA: 8% (-1)
KD-EPP: 4% (+1)
SFP-RE: 3% (-1)
Liik.~NI: 2%
+/- vs. February 2024
Fieldwork: 11 March-2 April 2024
Sample size: 2,613
➤ https://europeelects.eu/finland
#Poland, Opinia24 poll:
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 36% (+4)
PiS-ECR: 29% (-2)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 15% (-2)
Kon~NI|ID: 10%
Lewica-S&D: 8%
+/- vs. 25-26 March 2024
Fieldwork: 2-3 April 2024
Sample size: N/A
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 36% (+4)
PiS-ECR: 29% (-2)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 15% (-2)
Kon~NI|ID: 10%
Lewica-S&D: 8%
+/- vs. 25-26 March 2024
Fieldwork: 2-3 April 2024
Sample size: N/A
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
#Poland, IBRiS poll:
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 34%
PiS-ECR: 32% (-4)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 13% (-2)
Lewica-S&D: 10% (+1)
Kon~NI|ID: 9% (+4)
+/- vs. 5-8 January 2024
Fieldwork: 4 April 2024
Sample size: 1,068
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 34%
PiS-ECR: 32% (-4)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 13% (-2)
Lewica-S&D: 10% (+1)
Kon~NI|ID: 9% (+4)
+/- vs. 5-8 January 2024
Fieldwork: 4 April 2024
Sample size: 1,068
➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland
62 days until the first day of the EU Parliament election.
Based on our candidate aggregations with 361 (http://epcandidates.eu) and our polling average, we are projecting the seat distribution below for #France per party.
Other states: http://europeelects.eu/2024/03/31/march-2024/
Based on our candidate aggregations with 361 (http://epcandidates.eu) and our polling average, we are projecting the seat distribution below for #France per party.
Other states: http://europeelects.eu/2024/03/31/march-2024/
#Slovakia, presidential election (run-off) today:
➤ Eligible voters: ~4,300,000
➤ Electoral system: two-round runoff
➤ Polling stations open: 07:00-22:00 CEST (08:00-23:00 EEST)
➤ Incumbent: Zuzana Čaputová (*-RE) not running for re-election
➤ 2 candidates running
➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia
➤ Eligible voters: ~4,300,000
➤ Electoral system: two-round runoff
➤ Polling stations open: 07:00-22:00 CEST (08:00-23:00 EEST)
➤ Incumbent: Zuzana Čaputová (*-RE) not running for re-election
➤ 2 candidates running
➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia
Europe Elects
Slovakia - Europe Elects
National Parliament Composition National Poll Average This poll average is the result of a smoothing cubic spline fitted to our dataset of all national polls collected in Slovakia.…
Media fund significantly fewer EU election polls compared to other elections.
E.g. German public broadcasters (ARD+ZDF):
National parliament: 109 polls (~530 days until next election)
Baden-Württemberg regional parliament: 9 (~700 days)
EU parliament: 0 (61 days)
➤ https://europeelects.eu/
E.g. German public broadcasters (ARD+ZDF):
National parliament: 109 polls (~530 days until next election)
Baden-Württemberg regional parliament: 9 (~700 days)
EU parliament: 0 (61 days)
➤ https://europeelects.eu/
Europe Elects
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