#Poland, Pollster poll:

ZP-ECR: 35%
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 31%
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 17% (+3)
Kon~NI: 7%
Lewica-S&D: 7% (-2)
PJJ-*: 2%
BS-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 7-8 November 2023
Sample size: 1,014

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#Poland: far-right Polska Jest Jedna (PJJ-*) achieves a record high polling result of 1.8% (Pollster).

The party obtained 1.6% of the vote as one of the seven nationwide electoral committees in last month’s national parliament election.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/poland

#France, Ipsos-Sopra Steria poll:

European Parliament election

Scenario: Séjourné is Ensemble’s (RE) lead candidate

RN-ID: 29% (+6)
Ensemble-RE: 20% (-2)
EELV-G/EFA: 10.5% (-3.5)
PS/PP-S&D: 10.5% (+4.5)
LFI-LEFT: 8.5% (+2.5)
LR-EPP: 6.5% (-2.5)
Reconquête-NI: 6%
PCF-LEFT: 2% (-1)
DLF→ECR: 2% (-2)
LO/NPA-LEFT: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 9-10 November 2023
Sample size: 1,412

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

#France, Ipsos-Sopra Steria poll:

European Parliament election

Scenario: Le Maire is Ensemble’s (RE) lead candidate

RN-ID: 29% (+6)
Ensemble-RE: 22%
EELV-G/EFA: 10% (-4)
PS/PP-S&D: 10% (+4)
LFI-LEFT: 8.5% (+2.5)
LR-EPP: 6% (-3)
Reconquête-NI: 6%
PCF-LEFT: 2% (-1)
DLF→ECR: 2% (-2)
LO/NPA-LEFT: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 9-10 November 2023
Sample size: 1,412

➤ https://europeelects.eu/france

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30.5% (+0.5)
AfD-ID: 21.5% (+0.5)
SPD-S&D: 16.5% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13.5% (-0.5)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 4.5% (+0.5)
FW-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 6-10 November 2023

Fieldwork: 10-13 November 2023
Sample size: 2,008

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

NEW | The results of a fair election always follow certain statistical rules.

Using the tampering in Russia as an example, Europe Elects goes through some techniques that authoritarian regimes use to rig elections while keeping up a democratic façade.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/2023/11/13/russia-understanding-the-flagrant-vote-rigging-with-graphs/

#Portugal, Aximage poll:

PS-S&D: 27% (-2)
PSD-EPP: 26% (+1)
CH-ID: 18% (+4)
BE-LEFT: 8% (+1)
IL-RE: 6% (+1)
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PAN-G/EFA: 3%
L-G/EFA: 3%
CDS-PP-EPP: 1% (-2)

+/- vs. 2-5 October 2023

Fieldwork: 10-13 November 2023
Sample size: 504

➤ http://europeelects.eu/portugal

#Portugal: right-wing Chega (ID) reaches a new record high of 17.9% in the latest Aximage poll.

The party achieved 7.2% of the vote in the 2022 national parliament election.

➤ http://europeelects.eu/portugal

#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 23%
F-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
I→RE: 12%
Æ~NI: 10% (+1)
V-RE: 10% (+1)
M-RE: 8% (+1)
Ø-LEFT: 8% (-1)
C-EPP: 5% (-1)
B-RE: 4%
O-ID: 3% (-1)
Å→G/EFA: 2%
D~NI: 2%
...

+/- vs. 30 October-5 November 2023

Fieldwork: 6-12 November 2023
Sample size: 1,036

➤ http://europeelects.eu/denmark

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➤ https://www.gofundme.com/f/europe-elects-empowering-european-citizens

#Greece, Alco poll:

ND-EPP: 39% (+2)
SYRIZA-LEFT: 15% (−3)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 15% (+1)
KKE-NI: 10% (+1)
EL-ECR: 6%
Niki-*: 4% (+1)
Spartiates-*: 3% (−2)
PE-*: 3%
MeRA25~LEFT: 2%

+/− vs. 25 – 28 September 2023

Fieldwork: 30 October – 03 November 2023
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece

#Italy, Demos poll:

FdI-ECR: 28% (-1)
PD-S&D: 20%
M5S-NI: 17%
LEGA-ID: 8%
FI-EPP: 7%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 4%
A-RE: 3% (-1)
IV-RE: 3% (+1)
+E-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 18-20 September 2023

Fieldwork: 6-9 November 2023
Sample size: 1,006

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Italy, Quorum poll:

FdI-ECR: 30%
PD-S&D: 20% (+1)
M5S-NI: 14%
LEGA-ID: 9% (-1)
FI-EPP: 6%
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 3% (+1)
Italexit-*: 2%
NM-EPP: 2%

+/- vs. 31 October - 2 November 2023

Fieldwork: 7-9 November 2023
Sample size: 802

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

#Italy, SWG poll:

FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 20%
M5S-NI: 16%
LEGA-ID: 9% (-1)
FI-EPP: 7% (+1)
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 4%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 2%
Italexit-*: 2%
UP-LEFT: 1%
NM-EPP: 1%

+/- vs. 31 October - 6 November 2023

Fieldwork: 8-13 November 2023
Sample size: 1,200

➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy

Netherlands: Why did 17 parties win parliamentary representation in the last election?

Who do the leading parties want to form a coalition with? Who is willing to work with the right-wing PVV (ID) of Geert Wilders?

All answers in our new video: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=hME-d1Lh0z0

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (+1)
AfD-ID: 21%
SPD-S&D: 14% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14%
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FW-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 31 October-6 November 2023

Fieldwork: 7-13 November 2023
Sample size: 2,504

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Georgia, GORBI poll:

GD~S&D: 55% (+2)
VP-EPP|RE: 20% (-1)
LELO-RE: 4%
Girchi MF/Droa-RE: 4% (+1)
EG-EPP: 3% (+1)
ForGeo~EPP: 3% (+1)
LP-*: 2% (-1)
AP~ECR: 2%
Girchi-*: 1%
C~NI: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 22 April-7 May 2023

Fieldwork: 30 September-20 October 2023
Sample size: 2,024

➤ http://europeelects.eu/georgia/

EU27, Europe Elects seat projection:
Largest national parties in the smallest countries

Malta: 🇲🇹 PN (EPP)
Luxembourg: 🇱🇺 CSV (EPP)
Cyprus: 🇨🇾 AKEL (LEFT)
Estonia: 🇪🇪 RE (RE)
Latvia: 🇱🇻 P (G/EFA)
Slovenia: 🇸🇮 SDS (EPP)

Full report: https://europeelects.eu/2023/10/31/october-2023/

#Moldova: exactly three years, the second round of the 2020 presidential election took place. The election was won by Maia Sandu (*-EPP), who then became the first woman elected president in the country’s history—succeeding the incumbent president Igor Dodon (PSRM~LEFT).

Sandu’s core support base was the diaspora, the centre and south of the country. Her opponent was more popular in the north of the country, in the autonomous Russian-speaking region of Gagauzia (south-west) and in the self-proclaimed Transnistria.

As usual, the map can be purchased (as a poster, postcard, sticker etc) at our official merchandise store:
https://www.redbubble.com/i/poster/Sandu-vs-Dodon-Moldova-2020-presidential-election-second-round-by-EuropeElects/154878410.LVTDI

#Netherlands, Ipsos poll:

VVD-RE: 18%
NSC~EPP: 17%
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 15% (+1)
PVV→ID: 11%
BBB~NI: 6% (-2)
D66-RE: 6%
PvdD-LEFT: 4% (-1)
CU-EPP: 3%
SP→LEFT: 3%
DENK-*: 3%
FvD-NI: 3%
CDA-EPP: 3%
Volt-G/EFA: 2%
SGP-ECR: 2%
JA21-ECR: 1% (-1)
BIJ1-*: 1%
50PLUS-RE: 1%
BVNL-*: 0%

+/- vs. 27-30 October 2023

Fieldwork: 10-13 November 2023
Sample size: 2,052
➤ http://europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:

LSDP-S&D: 21% (-2)
TS LKD-EPP: 16% (+1)
LRLS-RE: 12% (-1)
LVŽS-G/EFA: 10%
DSVL→G/EFA: 9%
LP-RE: 5% (-1)
LLRA KŠS-ECR: 5% (+1)
LT~RE: 3% (-2)
LRP→S&D: 3% (n.a)

+/- vs. 18-26 September 2023

Fieldwork: 17-28 October 2023
Sample size: 1,011

➤ https://europeelects.eu/lithuania