#Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll:

Local election

JLP (centre-right): 51.1% (-1.3)
PNP (centre-left): 48.9% (+2.0)

(+/- vs. 2016 election)

Fieldwork: 24 November-7 December 2023
Sample size: 1,015

#AndrewHolness #MarkGolding

#Mexico, Massive Caller poll:

"If President AMLO (MORENA, centre-left) was your neighbor and you had to be absent for several days, would you give him the keys to your house?"

Yes: 51.8% (+3)
No: 41.6% (-1)

(+/- vs. 3 Dic 2023)

Fieldwork: 1 Jan 2024
Sample size: 1000

#México, El Financiero poll:

Presidential election,

Sheinbaum (SHH,left to centre-right): 58%(+2)
Gálvez (FCMx,centre-left to centre-right): 34%(-1)
MC candidate (centre-left): 8%(-)

+/- v. Nov 23

Fieldwork: 8-9,15-16&20-21 Dec 23
Sample size: 1,200

#Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll:

PNP (centre-left): 53.2% (+0.1)
JLP (centre-right): 46.8% (-0.1)

(+/- vs. 30 August-14 September 2023)

Fieldwork: 24 November-7 December 2023
Sample: 1,015

#AndrewHolness #MarkGolding

#Mexico: Today is the deadline for independents to gather the necessary signatures for their candidacy. None have reached the required amount to appear on the ballot. Among the presidential hopefuls who won't make it are former actor and far-right hopeful Eduardo Verastegui (*) and former Oaxacan Governor Ulises Ruiz (*).

#Guatemala: President-elect Bernardo Arévalo (Semilla, centre-left) has announced the composition of his cabinet, which includes Semilla members, former ministers, and non-partisan civil servants and professionals. He is due to take office on January 14.

Sint Maarten, parliamentary election today:

➤ Eligible voters: 22,553
➤ Polls open: 8AM—8PM local
➤ Unicameral parliament with 15 seats
➤ 8 parties, 125 candidates
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Voting system: Proportional representation
➤ Term: 4 years

Sint Maarten: Polls have opened in today’s parliamentary election.

#SintMaarten
#Netherlands

Sint Maarten, parliamentary election:

100% counted

NA(centre-left): 23.9% (-11.4)
UP(centre-right): 19.6% (-4.6)
URSM(centre-left): 13.9% (new)
DP(centre-left): 13.6%
PFP(centre-left): 11.9% (+1.4)
NOW(centre): 10.3% (new)
...

+/- vs. 2020 election

#SintMaarten
#Netherlands

Sint Maarten, parliamentary election results, seat projection:

NA (centre-left): 4
UP (centre-right): 3
PFP (centre-left): 2
URSM (centre-left): 2
DP (centre-left): 2
NOW (centre): 2

#SintMaarten
#Netherlands

#Chile, Cadem poll:

Approval rating of the performance of President Gabriel Boric (CS, left)

Approve: 31% (-2)
Disapprove: 64% (+4)
Don't know/Neither: 5% (-2)

(+/- vs. 27-29 Dec 2023)

Fieldwork: 3-5 January 2024
Sample size: 702

Sint Maarten:

Following elections this week, USRM (centre-left), PFP (centre-left), DP (centre-left), and NOW (centre) have agreed to form a government with 8/15 seats in Parliament.

Luc Mercelina (URSM) will be the next Prime Minister.

#SintMaarten
#Netherlands

#Guatemala:

A member mistakenly prematurely posted a tweet saying the incoming president in Guatemala has been sworn in. He is due to be sworn in at 4pm Guatemala time, in 40 minutes. We apologize for the error and have deleted the tweet.

A member mistakenly prematurely posted a tweet saying the incoming president in Guatemala has been sworn in. He is due to be sworn in at 4pm Guatemala time, in 40 minutes. We apologize for the error and have deleted the tweet.

#Guatemala: The Constitutional Court has upheld a move by outgoing congressional leadership to suspend the Semilla Movement (centre-left) and declare their legislators as independent.

Analysts report that outgoing congressional leadership are attempting to prevent the new Semilla (centre-left) deputies from being sworn in. Legislators have been locked inside Congress, with protesters outside denouncing the moves by Congress as a coup.

President-elect Bernardo Arévalo (Semilla, centre-left) has stated that he will be sworn in as planned, 25 minutes from now.

#Guatemala: Bernardo Arévalo (Semilla, centre-left) has been sworn in as President after midnight in Guatemala, following a day of chaos and uncertainty, and months of efforts by state and government forces to stop his inauguration.

#Panama, Gallup Panamá poll:

Presidential election

Martinelli (ApSP, conservative|centre-right): 53% (-6)
Lombana (MOCA, liberal): 13% (+4)
Torrijos (PP, centre-right): 11% (-)
...

(+/- vs. 17-25 Oct 2023)

Fieldwork: 4-9 January 2024
Sample size: 1,204

#Canada (#Alberta): Rachel Notley has announced that she will resign as leader of the opposition Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP, centre-left). Notley was elected leader in 2014 and led Alberta's NDP to its first ever provincial election victory in 2015.

#Peru, Datum poll:

Approval rating for the performance of President Dina Boluarte (ind.)

Approve: 10% (+1)
Disapprove: 85% (-)
Don't know: 5% (-1)

(+/- vs. 1-6 Dec 2023)

Fieldwork: 6-9 January 2024
Sample size: 1,210

United States, Iowa GOP presidential caucuses, 99% counted:

Trump: 51% (20)
DeSantis: 21% (9)
Haley: 19% (8)
Ramaswamy: 8% (3)

(delegates won)

Former President Donald Trump won yesterday's Republican Party (right) caucuses in the state of Iowa.

#USA

United States : Businessman and author Vivek Ramaswamy (GOP, Right) has announced that he will drop his presidential aspirations and endorse former President Donald Trump in the ongoing Republican primary.

#USA

Chile, Cadem poll:

Approval rating of the performance of President Gabriel Boric (CS, left)

Approve: 32% (+1)
Disapprove: 61% (-3)
Don't know/Neither: 7% (+2)

(+/- vs. 3-5 Jan)

Fieldwork: 10-12 January 2024
Sample size: 703