America Elects Official
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The official Telegram account for America Elects: providing polling aggregation and election analysis from all over the Americas.

https://www.patreon.com/EuropeElects
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Forwarded from Europe Elects Official
How would Europeans vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election if they had a chance?

Pollsters across the continent asked, Europe Elects aggregated:

Harris (~S&D|RE) vs. Trump (ECR) (only those revealing voting intention):

🇩🇰96–4
🇫🇮90–8
🇸🇪90–10
🇳🇱87–13
🇳🇴86–12
🇩🇪85–15
🇮🇪84–16
🇫🇷83–17
🇱🇹83–17
🇦🇹82–18
🇪🇸80–20
🇵🇹79–21
🇧🇪78–22
🇮🇹75–25
🇪🇪74–26
🇨🇭72–20
🇱🇻69–31
🇵🇱69–31
🇬🇧68–32
🇽🇰67–33
🇷🇴62–38
🇬🇷61–39
🇭🇷60–40
🇨🇿54–46
🇸🇮49–51
🇸🇰48–52
🇲🇩44–56
🇧🇬42–58
🇭🇺38–62
🇬🇪34–66
🇷🇸33–67
🇷🇺22–78

Fieldwork: October
Sample size: see details

Details, methodology and raw polls considered in the analysis:
#USA: Polls have opened in Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands for their territorial and local elections. They will both participate in a non-binding straw poll for US President.
#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll, preferred status choice referendum:

“Which status option do you prefer?”

Statehood: 60%
Free Association: 29%
Independence: 11%

Fieldwork: October 14-31 2024
Size: 1,651

#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll:

Presidential election straw poll

Harris (Dem, Liberal): 64%
Trump (GOP, right): 36%

Fieldwork: Oct 14-31 2024
Sample size: 1,651

#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll:

Gubernatorial election

Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 39%
González (PNP, Centre): 36%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 18%


Fieldwork: Oct 14-31 2024
Sample size: 1,651

#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), Full Master Services poll:

Gubernatorial election

González (PNP, Centre): 34%
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 32%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 24%


Fieldwork: Oct 26-Nov 3 2024
Sample size: 1,226

#PR
#USA, presidential election today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~230,000,000
➤ Polling stations open: Varies by state and municipality
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Method: Electoral College (FPTP)
➤ Incumbent: Joe Biden (Democratic, Liberal)
➤ 2 major candidates running
#USA, congressional elections today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~230,000,000
➤ Polling stations open: Varies by state and municipality
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Seats: 435 Representatives and 34 Senators
➤ Method: FPTP and RCV
➤ Term: Representatives 2 years and Senators 6 years
#USA, state elections today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~230,000,000
➤ Polling stations open: Varies by state and municipality
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Seats: 11 Governors and 5,807 state legislators
➤ Method: Varies by state
➤ Term: Governor and Legislators vary by state
#USA (Puerto Rico), Atlas Intel poll:

Gubernatorial election

González (PNP, Centre): 36%
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 35%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 20%


Fieldwork: Nov 1-4 2024
Sample size: 4,914
#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), Atlas Intel poll:

Presidential election straw poll

Harris (Dem, Liberal): 69%
Trump (GOP, right): 31%

Fieldwork: Nov 1-4 2024
Sample size: 4,914
#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), Atlas Intel poll:

Resident Commissioner election

Hernández (PPD, Centre): 42%
Villafañe (PNP, Centre): 35%
Rivera (MVC, centre-left): 17%


Fieldwork: November 1-4 2024
Sample size: 4,914
#PR
#USA, #Guam presidential straw poll:

Preliminary results, 99.9% counted

Harris (Dem, Liberal): 49.5%
Trump (GOP, right): 46.2% (+4.3)
Kennedy Jr. (Ind): 3.4%
...

(+/- vs. 2020 election)
#USA, Northern Mariana Islands election:

Senate seats

GOP (Right): 4 (-)
Dem (Liberal): 3 (+1)
Independents: 2 (-1)


(+/- vs. 2022 Results)
#USA, Northern Mariana Islands election:

House seats

Independents: 16 (+3)
Dem (Liberal): 2 (-2)
GOP (Right): 2 (-1)


(+/- vs. 2022 Results)
Antigua and Barbuda: Independent MP for St Peter constituency, Asot Michael, has been found dead in his residence.

Michael has been in parliament since 2004 and has been an independent since 2023 after he left the Antigua and Barbuda Labor Party (ABLP, centre-left)
#USA (Puerto Rico): Polls are closed in today's elections. Results for Governor, the legislature, the Presidential straw poll, and other races are expected later tonight.

#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), gubernatorial election results:

9.6% counted

González (PNP, Centre): 39.6%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 28.5%
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 26.2%
Jiménez (PD, Conservative): 5.5%

#PR
#USA, Presidential election today:

The first polls are now closed in parts of Indiana and Kentucky for today's Presidential, Congressional, state, and local elections. Results will be released as polls continue to close across the country.
#USA (Puerto Rico), gubernatorial election results:

21.8% counted

González (PNP, Centre): 39.0% (-0.6)
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 30.1% (+3.9)
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 24.8% (-3.7)
Jiménez (PD, Conservative): 6.0% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 9.6% counted

#PR