America Elects Official
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The official Telegram account for America Elects: providing polling aggregation and election analysis from all over the Americas.

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#Chile, Activa/Pulso Ciudadano poll:

Santiago gubernatorial run-off election

C. Orrego (Ind.): 61%
F. Orrego (ChV, conservative|centre-right): 39%

Fieldwork: 29-31 October 2024
Sample size: 646
#Chile, Activa/Pulso Ciudadano poll:

Presidential election, open question

Matthei (UDI, conservative): 32% (+3)
J.A. Kast (REP, right): 15% (-4)
Bachelet (PS, centre-left): 13% (-7)

(+/- vs. 25-27 September 2024)

Fieldwork: 29-31 October 2024
Sample size: 1,200
#USA (Puerto Rico), The Research Office poll:

Gubernatorial election

González (PNP, Centre): 38%
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 30%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 23%


Fieldwork: Oct 29-Nov 1 2024
Sample size: 1,000
#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), The Research Office poll:

Resident Commissioner election

Villafañe (PNP, Centre): 40%
Hernández (PPD, Centre): 39%
Rivera (MVC, centre-left): 16%


Fieldwork: October 29-November 1 2024
Sample size: 1,000
#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), The Research Office poll, preferred status choice referendum:

“Which status option do you prefer?”

Statehood: 50%
Free Association: 29%
Independence: 21%

Fieldwork: October 29-November 2
Size: 1,000
#PR
Forwarded from Europe Elects Official
How would Europeans vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election if they had a chance?

Pollsters across the continent asked, Europe Elects aggregated:

Harris (~S&D|RE) vs. Trump (ECR) (only those revealing voting intention):

🇩🇰96–4
🇫🇮90–8
🇸🇪90–10
🇳🇱87–13
🇳🇴86–12
🇩🇪85–15
🇮🇪84–16
🇫🇷83–17
🇱🇹83–17
🇦🇹82–18
🇪🇸80–20
🇵🇹79–21
🇧🇪78–22
🇮🇹75–25
🇪🇪74–26
🇨🇭72–20
🇱🇻69–31
🇵🇱69–31
🇬🇧68–32
🇽🇰67–33
🇷🇴62–38
🇬🇷61–39
🇭🇷60–40
🇨🇿54–46
🇸🇮49–51
🇸🇰48–52
🇲🇩44–56
🇧🇬42–58
🇭🇺38–62
🇬🇪34–66
🇷🇸33–67
🇷🇺22–78

Fieldwork: October
Sample size: see details

Details, methodology and raw polls considered in the analysis:
#USA: Polls have opened in Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands for their territorial and local elections. They will both participate in a non-binding straw poll for US President.
#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll, preferred status choice referendum:

“Which status option do you prefer?”

Statehood: 60%
Free Association: 29%
Independence: 11%

Fieldwork: October 14-31 2024
Size: 1,651

#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll:

Presidential election straw poll

Harris (Dem, Liberal): 64%
Trump (GOP, right): 36%

Fieldwork: Oct 14-31 2024
Sample size: 1,651

#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll:

Gubernatorial election

Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 39%
González (PNP, Centre): 36%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 18%


Fieldwork: Oct 14-31 2024
Sample size: 1,651

#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), Full Master Services poll:

Gubernatorial election

González (PNP, Centre): 34%
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 32%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 24%


Fieldwork: Oct 26-Nov 3 2024
Sample size: 1,226

#PR
#USA, presidential election today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~230,000,000
➤ Polling stations open: Varies by state and municipality
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Method: Electoral College (FPTP)
➤ Incumbent: Joe Biden (Democratic, Liberal)
➤ 2 major candidates running
#USA, congressional elections today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~230,000,000
➤ Polling stations open: Varies by state and municipality
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Seats: 435 Representatives and 34 Senators
➤ Method: FPTP and RCV
➤ Term: Representatives 2 years and Senators 6 years
#USA, state elections today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~230,000,000
➤ Polling stations open: Varies by state and municipality
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Seats: 11 Governors and 5,807 state legislators
➤ Method: Varies by state
➤ Term: Governor and Legislators vary by state
#USA (Puerto Rico), Atlas Intel poll:

Gubernatorial election

González (PNP, Centre): 36%
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 35%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 20%


Fieldwork: Nov 1-4 2024
Sample size: 4,914
#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), Atlas Intel poll:

Presidential election straw poll

Harris (Dem, Liberal): 69%
Trump (GOP, right): 31%

Fieldwork: Nov 1-4 2024
Sample size: 4,914
#PR
#USA (Puerto Rico), Atlas Intel poll:

Resident Commissioner election

Hernández (PPD, Centre): 42%
Villafañe (PNP, Centre): 35%
Rivera (MVC, centre-left): 17%


Fieldwork: November 1-4 2024
Sample size: 4,914
#PR
#USA, #Guam presidential straw poll:

Preliminary results, 99.9% counted

Harris (Dem, Liberal): 49.5%
Trump (GOP, right): 46.2% (+4.3)
Kennedy Jr. (Ind): 3.4%
...

(+/- vs. 2020 election)
#USA, Northern Mariana Islands election:

Senate seats

GOP (Right): 4 (-)
Dem (Liberal): 3 (+1)
Independents: 2 (-1)


(+/- vs. 2022 Results)
#USA, Northern Mariana Islands election:

House seats

Independents: 16 (+3)
Dem (Liberal): 2 (-2)
GOP (Right): 2 (-1)


(+/- vs. 2022 Results)