#USA (Puerto Rico), Gaither International poll:

If you had the choice between voting for statehood and independence, what would you support?

Statehood: 72%
Independence: 25%
Undecided: 3%

Fieldwork: October 1-19
Size: 1,109

#PR

#USA (Puerto Rico), Gaither International poll, preferred status choice referendum:

“Which status option do you prefer?”

Statehood: 58%
Free Association: 25%
Independence: 17%

Fieldwork: October 1-19
Size: 1,109
#PR

#Peru: The National Alliance of Workers, Farmers, University Students and Reservists (ANTAURO, *) led by Antauro Humala has been declared illegal by the Supreme Court. As a result of this, the party's registration will be nullified and it's expected to disband.

#USA, Puerto Rico, Gaither International poll:

Support for status options by party support.

Fieldwork: Oct 1-8
Size: 1,109
#PR

#Peru, Ipsos poll:

Presidential election

FP (right): 21% (+4)
AP (centre): 12% (+3)
ANTAURO (*): 12% (-1)
SP (centre-right): 7% (+1)
...

(+/- vs. 17-18 Jul)

Fieldwork: 10-11 October 2024
Sample size: 1,211

#Peru, Ipsos poll:

Presidential election

K. Fujimori (FP, right): 23% (+5)
A. Humala (ANTAURO, *): 15% (+4)
Álvarez (PPT, conservative): 8% (+4)
Sagasti (PM, liberal): 8% (+2)
...

(+/- vs. 17-18 Jul)

Fieldwork: 10-11 October 2024
Sample size: 1,211

#Chile, Panel Ciudadano/UDD poll:

Presidential election

Matthei (UDI, conservative): 28% (-6)
J.A. Kast (REP, right): 17% (+2)
Vodanovic (FA, left): 14% (+11)
...

(+/- vs. 16-17 September 2024)

Fieldwork: 28-29 October 2024
Sample size: 1,852

#Chile, Activa/Pulso Ciudadano poll:

Santiago gubernatorial run-off election

C. Orrego (Ind.): 61%
F. Orrego (ChV, conservative|centre-right): 39%

Fieldwork: 29-31 October 2024
Sample size: 646

#Chile, Activa/Pulso Ciudadano poll:

Presidential election, open question

Matthei (UDI, conservative): 32% (+3)
J.A. Kast (REP, right): 15% (-4)
Bachelet (PS, centre-left): 13% (-7)

(+/- vs. 25-27 September 2024)

Fieldwork: 29-31 October 2024
Sample size: 1,200

#USA (Puerto Rico), The Research Office poll:

Gubernatorial election

González (PNP, Centre): 38%
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 30%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 23%
…

Fieldwork: Oct 29-Nov 1 2024
Sample size: 1,000
#PR

#USA (Puerto Rico), The Research Office poll:

Resident Commissioner election

Villafañe (PNP, Centre): 40%
Hernández (PPD, Centre): 39%
Rivera (MVC, centre-left): 16%
…

Fieldwork: October 29-November 1 2024
Sample size: 1,000
#PR

#USA (Puerto Rico), The Research Office poll, preferred status choice referendum:

“Which status option do you prefer?”

Statehood: 50%
Free Association: 29%
Independence: 21%

Fieldwork: October 29-November 2
Size: 1,000
#PR

How would Europeans vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election if they had a chance?

Pollsters across the continent asked, Europe Elects aggregated:

Harris (~S&D|RE) vs. Trump (ECR) (only those revealing voting intention):

🇩🇰96–4
🇫🇮90–8
🇸🇪90–10
🇳🇱87–13
🇳🇴86–12
🇩🇪85–15
🇮🇪84–16
🇫🇷83–17
🇱🇹83–17
🇦🇹82–18
🇪🇸80–20
🇵🇹79–21
🇧🇪78–22
🇮🇹75–25
🇪🇪74–26
🇨🇭72–20
🇱🇻69–31
🇵🇱69–31
🇬🇧68–32
🇽🇰67–33
🇷🇴62–38
🇬🇷61–39
🇭🇷60–40
🇨🇿54–46
🇸🇮49–51
🇸🇰48–52
🇲🇩44–56
🇧🇬42–58
🇭🇺38–62
🇬🇪34–66
🇷🇸33–67
🇷🇺22–78

Fieldwork: October
Sample size: see details

Details, methodology and raw polls considered in the analysis:

Details, methodology and raw polls considered in the analysis: https://europeelects.eu/2024/11/04/u-s-election-europeans-would-vote-for-harris-if-they-could/

#USA: Polls have opened in Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands for their territorial and local elections. They will both participate in a non-binding straw poll for US President.

#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll, preferred status choice referendum:

“Which status option do you prefer?”

Statehood: 60%
Free Association: 29%
Independence: 11%

Fieldwork: October 14-31 2024
Size: 1,651

#PR

#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll:

Presidential election straw poll

Harris (Dem, Liberal): 64%
Trump (GOP, right): 36%

Fieldwork: Oct 14-31 2024
Sample size: 1,651

#PR

#USA (Puerto Rico), IZQ Strategies poll:

Gubernatorial election

Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 39%
González (PNP, Centre): 36%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 18%
…

Fieldwork: Oct 14-31 2024
Sample size: 1,651

#PR

#USA (Puerto Rico), Full Master Services poll:

Gubernatorial election

González (PNP, Centre): 34%
Dalmau (PIP, Regionalist): 32%
Ortiz (PPD, Centre): 24%
…

Fieldwork: Oct 26-Nov 3 2024
Sample size: 1,226

#PR

#USA, presidential election today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~230,000,000
➤ Polling stations open: Varies by state and municipality
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Method: Electoral College (FPTP)
➤ Incumbent: Joe Biden (Democratic, Liberal)
➤ 2 major candidates running

#USA, congressional elections today:

➤ Eligible voters: ~230,000,000
➤ Polling stations open: Varies by state and municipality
➤ Voting age: 18
➤ Seats: 435 Representatives and 34 Senators
➤ Method: FPTP and RCV
➤ Term: Representatives 2 years and Senators 6 years